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Cadence Design Systems, Inc. (CDNS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $324.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Expensive valuation.

Cadence Design Systems develops AI-driven EDA software, accelerated hardware, and silicon IP for semiconductor and electronics systems companies worldwide. Revenue comes primarily from time-based software subscriptions plus hardware and IP sales; customers include semiconductor... Read more

$324.90+5.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#39 of 96 Software - Application
Stop $302.06Target $342.01(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$380.01+17.0%27 analysts
$342.01our TP
$324.90price
$380.01mean
$275
$425

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $324.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.3%
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)76.9
P/E (Fwd)35.2
Mkt Cap$91.1B
EV/EBITDA45.4
Profit Mgn21.2%
ROE20.7%
Rev Growth18.7%
Beta1.04
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.07bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$190-41.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'the ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainty between the United States and China, where we conduct business and have derived a substantial percentage of our revenue'
  • MEDIUMSuppliersingle supplier or limited number of suppliers for hardware
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on a single supplier or a limited number of suppliers for certain hardware components and contract manufacturers for production of our hardware products'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
1.2
Forward Pe
3.0
Peg Ratio
3.7
Analyst Target
6.0
Forward P/E: 35.2xPEG: 2.95Expensive valuation

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.6
Growth Rank
6.0
Quality Rank
7.7
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $263.38Resistance $338.55

Price Targets

$302
$342
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-27 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CDNS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $324.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 73. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $342.01 (+5.3%), stop $302.06 (−7.6%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CDNS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $342.01 (+5.3% upside). Target $342.01 (+5.3%), stop $302.06 (−7.6%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $302.06.

What are the risks of investing in CDNS?

Thin upside margin: 5.3%; Expensive valuation.

Is CDNS overvalued or undervalued?

Cadence Design Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 76.9 (forward 35.2). TrendMatrix value score: 2.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CDNS?

32 analysts cover CDNS with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $380.

What does Cadence Design Systems, Inc. do?Cadence Design Systems develops AI-driven EDA software, accelerated hardware, and silicon IP for semiconductor and...

Cadence Design Systems develops AI-driven EDA software, accelerated hardware, and silicon IP for semiconductor and electronics systems companies worldwide. Revenue comes primarily from time-based software subscriptions plus hardware and IP sales; customers include semiconductor chip designers and systems companies globally.

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