Skip to main content
MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports CoSell6.1·$409.00-0.96%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Madison Square Garden Sports scores below the minimum quality threshold at 1.8/10, with a mixed earnings record of 2 beats and 2 misses, and the stock has reached or exceeded analyst price targets, leaving no favorable risk-reward for new positions.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Minimum Quality FloorImproving
  • Mixed Earnings Track RecordImproving
  • Price Target Reached Negative UpsideImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Madison Square Garden Sports Co (MSGS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $409.00: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.19; Below-average business quality.

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., is a Nevada corporation with our principal executive offices at Two Pennsylvania Plaza, New York, NY 10121. Unless the context otherwise requires, all references to "we," "us," "our," "MSG Sports" or the "Company" refer collectively to Madison... Read more

$409.00+2.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#7 of 34 Entertainment
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield0.61%
Stop $381.85Target $418.18(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$480.67+17.5%6 analysts
$418.18our TP
$409.00price
$480.67mean
$584

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $409.00: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.19; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16

Recent Developments — Madison Square Garden Sports Co

Generated 2026-08-16T20:32:10Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 30, 2026· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(3) detected in news
Risks
Target reached (2.7% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)1233.8
P/E (Fwd)-2122.9
Mkt Cap$9.8B
EV/EBITDA316.5
Profit Mgn0.7%
ROE
Rev Growth36.7%
Beta0.58
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.19bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$500+22.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2M
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $382.65Resistance $438.93

Price Targets

$382
$418
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSGS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $409.00: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.19; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $381.85. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSGS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $418.18 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $381.85. Stop-loss: $381.85.

What are the risks of investing in MSGS?

Target reached (2.7% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).

Is MSGS overvalued or undervalued?

Madison Square Garden Sports Co trades at a P/E of 1233.8 (forward -2122.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MSGS?

15 analysts cover MSGS with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $481.

What does Madison Square Garden Sports Co do?Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., is a Nevada corporation with our principal executive offices at Two Pennsylvania...

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., is a Nevada corporation with our principal executive offices at Two Pennsylvania Plaza, New York, NY 10121. Unless the context otherwise requires, all references to "we," "us," "our," "MSG Sports" or the "Company" refer collectively to Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., a holding company, and its direct and indirect subsidiaries.

Related stocks: MSGE (Madison Square Garden Entertain) · CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark ) · FOX (Fox Corporation) · IMAX (Imax Corporation) · FOXA (Fox Corporation)
Home Stocks MSGS

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga2d agoRestructuring
Benzinga2d agoAnalyst
Benzinga2d agoAnalyst
Benzinga2d agoAnalyst
Benzinga3d agoRestructuring
Benzinga3d ago
Benzinga4d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga48d ago
Benzinga69d ago
Benzinga69d ago
Benzinga81d agoAnalyst
Benzinga89d ago
Benzinga95d agoAnalyst
Benzinga100d agoEarnings
Benzinga104d agoLeadership Change
Benzinga115d ago
Benzinga128d agoAnalyst
Benzinga128d agoAnalyst