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MAIRMadison Air Solutions CorporatiSell5.7·$37.10-1.67%
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Madison Air Solutions Corporati (MAIR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. At $37.10, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Madison Air Solutions Corporation manufactures and sells indoor air quality products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It offers heating, air filtration and purification, air movement, and air conditioning solutions under the Reznor, AprilAire, Big Ass... Read more

$37.10+12.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $34.94Target $41.68(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$47.91+29.1%11 analysts
$41.68our TP
$37.10price
$47.91mean
$50

Sell if holding. At $37.10, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)106.2
P/E (Fwd)29.8
Mkt Cap$18.6B
EV/EBITDA31.5
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE
Rev Growth33.8%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
1.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.4
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.2
Quality Rank
2.7
Growth Rank
8.8
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $36.02Resistance $44.15

Price Targets

$35
$42
A.Upside+12.3%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for MAIR.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAIR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $37.10, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $34.94. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAIR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.68 (+12.1% upside). Prior stop was $34.94. Stop-loss: $34.94.

What are the risks of investing in MAIR?

Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Is MAIR overvalued or undervalued?

Madison Air Solutions Corporati trades at a P/E of 106.2 (forward 29.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MAIR?

18 analysts cover MAIR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $48.

What does Madison Air Solutions Corporati do?Madison Air Solutions Corporation manufactures and sells indoor air quality products and solutions in the United States...

Madison Air Solutions Corporation manufactures and sells indoor air quality products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It offers heating, air filtration and purification, air movement, and air conditioning solutions under the Reznor, AprilAire, Big Ass Fans, Nortek Air Solutions and, Roberts-Gordon. The company also provides related services, such as custom design, installation, repair, and maintenance. The company distributes through various customer bases and sales channels, including direct sales to national, regional and local companies; manufacturers' sales representatives; distributors; and retail partners. It serves healthcare and life sciences, advanced manufacturing, data centers, logistics, and education industries, as well as residential markets. Madison Air Solutions Corporation was founded in 2017 and is based in Chicago, Illinois. Madison Air Solutions Corporation is a subsidiary of Madison Industries Holdings LLC.

Related stocks: AWI (Armstrong World Industries Inc) · MAS (Masco Corporation) · AAON (AAON, Inc.) · SPXC (SPX Technologies, Inc.) · JCI (Johnson Controls International )
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