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MAIRMadison Air Solutions CorporatiHold6.6·$23.26
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Madison Air Solutions is growing revenue at a 34% YoY clip and screens cheap on a growth-adjusted basis, but high leverage and weak near-term momentum argue for caution despite the strong growth engine.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • High Leverage Penalty→Stable
  • Momentum Breakdown→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Madison Air Solutions Corporati (MAIR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Earnings in 2 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Elevated risk factors.

Madison Air Solutions Corporation manufactures and sells indoor air quality products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It offers heating, air filtration and purification, air movement, and air conditioning solutions under the Reznor, AprilAire, Big Ass... Read more

$23.26+36.7% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#2 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $21.63Analyst target $31.80(−13% haircut)A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst consensus$36.56+57.2%9 analysts with price targets
$31.80Analyst target
$23.26price
$36.56mean
$49

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 2d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Madison Air Solutions Corporati

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-03T11:28:59Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20262d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 37%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)47.5
P/E (Fwd)20.1
Mkt Cap$11.7B
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE—
Rev Growth20.9%
Beta—
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C18.00bearish
IV81%elevated
Max Pain$15-35.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 2d<=7dMomentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 4.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
42 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $21.96Resistance $25.26

Price Targets

$22
$32
A.Upside+36.7%
A.R:R4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 2 days - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:2d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (2d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAIR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $31.80 (+36.7%), stop $21.63 (−7.5%), A.R:R 4.3:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAIR stock price target?

Analyst target: $31.80 (+36.7% upside). Analyst target $31.80 (+36.7%), stop $21.63 (−7.5%), A.R:R 4.3:1. Stop-loss: $21.63.

What are the risks of investing in MAIR?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Elevated risk factors.

Is MAIR overvalued or undervalued?

Madison Air Solutions Corporati trades at a P/E of 47.5 (forward 20.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MAIR?

17 analysts rate MAIR, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 9 analysts publish price targets averaging $37.

What does Madison Air Solutions Corporati do?Madison Air Solutions Corporation manufactures and sells indoor air quality products and solutions in the United States...

Madison Air Solutions Corporation manufactures and sells indoor air quality products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It offers heating, air filtration and purification, air movement, and air conditioning solutions under the Reznor, AprilAire, Big Ass Fans, Nortek Air Solutions and, Roberts-Gordon. The company also provides related services, such as custom design, installation, repair, and maintenance. The company distributes through various customer bases and sales channels, including direct sales to national, regional and local companies; manufacturers' sales representatives; distributors; and retail partners. It serves healthcare and life sciences, advanced manufacturing, data centers, logistics, and education industries, as well as residential markets. Madison Air Solutions Corporation was founded in 2017 and is based in Chicago, Illinois. Madison Air Solutions Corporation is a subsidiary of Madison Industries Holdings LLC.

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