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MAIRMadison Air Solutions CorporatiHold6.7·$25.26
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Madison Air Solutions is growing revenue at a 34% YoY clip and screens cheap on a growth-adjusted basis, but high leverage and weak near-term momentum argue for caution despite the strong growth engine.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue GrowthStable
  • High Leverage PenaltyStable
  • Momentum BreakdownStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Madison Air Solutions Corporati (MAIR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Madison Air Solutions Corporation manufactures and sells indoor air quality products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It offers heating, air filtration and purification, air movement, and air conditioning solutions under the Reznor, AprilAire, Big Ass... Read more

$25.26+44.3% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#1 of 25 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $23.49Target $36.44(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.8:1
Analyst target$41.89+65.8%9 analysts
$36.44our TP
$25.26price
$41.89mean
$49

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-24
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Analyst upside: 44%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)55.7
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$12.6B
EV/EBITDA17.8
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE
Rev Growth20.9%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 4.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $22.91Resistance $28.90

Price Targets

$23
$36
A.Upside+44.3%
A.R:R4.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts17
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$42

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAIR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.26, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $36.44 (+44.3%), stop $23.49 (−7.5%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAIR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.44 (+44.3% upside). Target $36.44 (+44.3%), stop $23.49 (−7.5%), A.R:R 4.8:1. Stop-loss: $23.49.

What are the risks of investing in MAIR?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is MAIR overvalued or undervalued?

Madison Air Solutions Corporati trades at a P/E of 55.7 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MAIR?

17 analysts cover MAIR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $42.

What does Madison Air Solutions Corporati do?Madison Air Solutions Corporation manufactures and sells indoor air quality products and solutions in the United States...

Madison Air Solutions Corporation manufactures and sells indoor air quality products and solutions in the United States and internationally. It offers heating, air filtration and purification, air movement, and air conditioning solutions under the Reznor, AprilAire, Big Ass Fans, Nortek Air Solutions and, Roberts-Gordon. The company also provides related services, such as custom design, installation, repair, and maintenance. The company distributes through various customer bases and sales channels, including direct sales to national, regional and local companies; manufacturers' sales representatives; distributors; and retail partners. It serves healthcare and life sciences, advanced manufacturing, data centers, logistics, and education industries, as well as residential markets. Madison Air Solutions Corporation was founded in 2017 and is based in Chicago, Illinois. Madison Air Solutions Corporation is a subsidiary of Madison Industries Holdings LLC.

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