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SPXCSPX Technologies, Inc.Sell6.0·$153.47
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

SPX Technologies has beaten earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters with average surprise of 9.1%, holds a wide economic moat and perfect Piotroski score of 9 out of 9, and is in a golden cross breakout pattern — but the stock has exceeded its analyst price target and the asymmetry is marginally negative, limiting the entry case for new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat Piotroski Perfect↓Deteriorating
  • Consistent Earnings Beat Track Record↑Improving
  • Hvac Us Concentration Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SPX Technologies, Inc. (SPXC) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $153.47 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%); Concentration risk — Product: HVAC segment.

SPX Technologies engineers and manufactures specialized products across two segments—HVAC solutions and detection and measurement equipment—serving industrial, institutional, commercial, and residential markets in 16 countries. The HVAC segment generated $1.52 billion in 2025... Read more

$153.47+35.7% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#7 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.07%
Stop $143.72Analyst target $208.33(−13% haircut)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst consensus$239.46+56.0%13 analysts with price targets
$208.33Analyst target
$153.47price
$239.46mean
$310

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $153.47 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%); Concentration risk — Product: HVAC segment. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 112d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About SPX Technologies, Inc.

About SPX Technologies, Inc.

SPX Technologies generated $2.27 billion in combined 2025 segment revenues—HVAC at $1.52 billion and Detection and Measurement at $746.9 million—operating in 16 countries with approximately 4,700 employees. The HVAC backlog reached $584.5 million at December 31, 2025, with 83% expected to convert to revenue in 2026. Approximately 80% of revenues were generated inside the United States, and no single customer exceeded 10% of consolidated revenues.

HVAC segment revenue comes from package and process cooling, engineered air handling, and hydronic and electrical heating products sold through direct sales, independent manufacturing representatives, distributors, and retailers under brands including Marley, Weil-McLain, Patterson-Kelley, Air Enterprises, and Ingénia. Detection and Measurement earns revenue from underground pipe and cable locators (Radiodetection, Pearpoint, Schonstedt), robotic inspection equipment (Cues, ULC Robotics), transportation systems (Genfare), and aids-to-navigation products (Sealite, Flash Technology, Avlite). International revenues grew from $343.1 million in 2024 to $452.5 million in 2025. Key raw material inputs include steel, aluminum, oil, and copper; SPX has generally been able to offset price increases through product pricing, though long-term supplier contracts may reduce this flexibility. Six domestic collective bargaining agreements cover approximately 480 employees.

Show full overview

SPX Technologies completed five acquisitions between January 2025 and February 2026, with Crawford United Corporation's Industrial and Transportation Products businesses—serving aerospace, defense, transportation, and marine markets—classified as non-core assets held for sale, targeting disposal within twelve months of the February 2026 close. The 10-K cautions that suitable buyers may not be identified on attractive terms, and any failure to divest could divert significant resources and dilute earnings. Manufacturing footprint expansions across the combined business face risk from permit delays, contractor disruptions, and cost inflation that could reduce returns on invested capital below anticipated levels.

See also: Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

From SPX Technologies, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — SPX Technologies, Inc.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 25, 2027112d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 36%
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: HVAC segment
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.5
P/E (Fwd)15.7
Mkt Cap$7.7B
EV/EBITDA16.2
Profit Mgn11.5%
ROE13.2%
Rev Growth20.5%
Beta1.25
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.33bearish
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$115-25.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States80%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 80% of our revenues were generated inside the United States'
  • HIGHProductHVAC segment
    10-K Item 1: 'Our HVAC reportable segment had revenues of $1,518.2'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
3.3
Rsi
3.5
Macd
7.2
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 112d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $148.17Resistance $173.02

Price Targets

$144
$208
A.Upside+35.7%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-25 (112d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPXC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $153.47 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%); Concentration risk — Product: HVAC segment. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $143.72. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPXC stock price target?

Analyst target: $208.33 (+35.7% upside). Prior stop was $143.72. Stop-loss: $143.72.

What are the risks of investing in SPXC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%); Concentration risk — Product: HVAC segment; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is SPXC overvalued or undervalued?

SPX Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.5 (forward 15.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SPXC?

21 analysts rate SPXC, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $239.

What does SPX Technologies, Inc. do?SPX Technologies engineers and manufactures specialized products across two segments—HVAC solutions and detection and...

SPX Technologies engineers and manufactures specialized products across two segments—HVAC solutions and detection and measurement equipment—serving industrial, institutional, commercial, and residential markets in 16 countries. The HVAC segment generated $1.52 billion in 2025 and Detection and Measurement $746.9 million, with no single customer exceeding 10% of consolidated revenues. The company employs approximately 4,700 people and has been actively expanding through acquisitions.

Related stocks: WMS (Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.) · MAIR (Madison Air Solutions Corporati) · AAON (AAON, Inc.) · GFF (Griffon Corporation) · MOD (Modine Manufacturing Company)
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