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SPX Technologies, Inc. (SPXC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $195.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

SPX Technologies manufactures HVAC solutions (cooling, air handling, heating) and detection/measurement products (pipeline locators, transportation systems, aids to navigation) across 16 countries with ~4,700 employees. HVAC revenues were $1,518.2M and Detection/Measurement... Read more

$195.79+18.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#8 of 18 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.83%
Stop $185.50Target $231.64(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$266.25+36.0%12 analysts
$231.64our TP
$195.79price
$266.25mean
$310

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $195.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — SPX Technologies, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.4
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$9.8B
EV/EBITDA20.9
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE13.8%
Rev Growth17.4%
Beta1.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$115-41.3% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States80%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 80% of our revenues were generated inside the United States.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
4.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $191.24Resistance $227.17

Price Targets

$186
$232
A.Upside+18.3%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SPXC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $195.79 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $185.50. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SPXC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $231.64 (+18.3% upside). Prior stop was $185.50. Stop-loss: $185.50.

What are the risks of investing in SPXC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (80.0%); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is SPXC overvalued or undervalued?

SPX Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.4 (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SPXC?

19 analysts cover SPXC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $266.

What does SPX Technologies, Inc. do?SPX Technologies manufactures HVAC solutions (cooling, air handling, heating) and detection/measurement products...

SPX Technologies manufactures HVAC solutions (cooling, air handling, heating) and detection/measurement products (pipeline locators, transportation systems, aids to navigation) across 16 countries with ~4,700 employees. HVAC revenues were $1,518.2M and Detection/Measurement $746.9M in 2025.

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