Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge
Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Sell if holding. At $147.61, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Weak growth.
Advanced Drainage Systems is the leading manufacturer of thermoplastic corrugated pipe and water management products for stormwater and onsite septic wastewater, serving residential, non-residential, infrastructure, and agriculture markets. Pipe represented 51.8% of FY2025 net... Read more
Sell if holding. At $147.61, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop-10 customers47%10-K Item 1A: 'Our ten largest customers generated approximately 47% of our net sales in fiscal 2025.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $147.61, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $137.28. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $165.56 (+12.2% upside). Prior stop was $137.28. Stop-loss: $137.28.
Weak growth; Negative momentum.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.4 (forward 21.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover WMS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $190.
What does Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. do?Advanced Drainage Systems is the leading manufacturer of thermoplastic corrugated pipe and water management products...
Advanced Drainage Systems is the leading manufacturer of thermoplastic corrugated pipe and water management products for stormwater and onsite septic wastewater, serving residential, non-residential, infrastructure, and agriculture markets. Pipe represented 51.8% of FY2025 net sales, Infiltrator 17.8%, and Allied Products 23.8%. The company estimates its total addressable market at approximately $15 billion across stormwater and septic industries.