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LZBLa-Z-Boy IncorporatedHold5.6·$39.91+0.35%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

La-Z-Boy sits at the analyst price target with earnings reporting today, leaving no measurable upside and a binary event risk that makes initiating or adding to a position unattractive despite a constructive technical setup and reasonable valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Price At Analyst TargetStable
  • Earnings Binary Event TodayStable
  • Solid Cash Conversion PiotroskiStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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La-Z-Boy Incorporated (LZB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S.-manufactured upholstered units (90.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

La-Z-Boy is the leading global producer of reclining chairs and one of the largest U.S. residential furniture manufacturers, selling upholstered furniture and casegoods under the La-Z-Boy, England, and Joybird tradenames. The company operates through Retail (378 La-Z-Boy Stores,... Read more

$39.91+10.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#6 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.15%
IncomeYield2.43%(5y avg 2.21%)Payout37.41%sustainable
Stop $37.12Target $44.00(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$46.00+15.3%2 analysts
Range unavailable (2 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S.-manufactured upholstered units (90.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About La-Z-Boy Incorporated

About La-Z-Boy Incorporated

La-Z-Boy manufactures and retails upholstered furniture and casegoods under the La-Z-Boy, England, and Joybird brands, anchored by a network of 378 La-Z-Boy Stores (230 company-owned), over 500 Comfort Studio locations, and nearly 900 branded-space locations across North America. The company disposed of its Kincaid and American Drew wholesale casegoods businesses in fiscal 2026 and 2027 to focus on its core upholstery operations, and approximately 90% of upholstered units sold in North America were manufactured domestically in fiscal 2026.

La-Z-Boy's Retail segment sells directly to consumers through company-owned stores, while its Wholesale segment manufactures and sells to independently owned La-Z-Boy Stores, Comfort Studio and branded-space locations, and other dealers, with approximately 60% of fiscal 2026 Wholesale segment sales flowing through this proprietary dealer network. Manufacturing inputs include polyurethane foam sourced mostly from three suppliers and cover fabric and leather from a limited number of major suppliers across China, Brazil, Vietnam, and the United States, while Vietnam alone supplied over 90% of the company's smaller imported-finished-goods category (itself about 5% of consolidated sales) through five major suppliers. Wholesale backlog fell to $74.9 million as of April 25, 2026 from $119.5 million a year earlier, reflecting softer consumer demand, and the company is eligible for a refund of certain tariffs following a February 2026 U.S. Supreme Court ruling invalidating IEEPA-based duties, though the amount and timing remain uncertain.

Show full overview

La-Z-Boy's tariff mitigation strategy - manufacturing roughly 90% of North American upholstered units domestically - shields the bulk of its business from import duties, but that protection does not extend to its smaller, higher-margin casegoods import book, where over 90% of finished-goods purchases came from Vietnam through just five major suppliers in fiscal 2026, and rising tariffs and ocean freight costs already pushed those import prices higher during the year. The upholstery supply chain carries its own concentration: most polyurethane foam comes from three suppliers, and cover fabric and leather depend on a limited number of major vendors, so a disruption at any one of these suppliers could still interrupt production even though the tariff exposure on that production is comparatively low.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

From La-Z-Boy Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — La-Z-Boy Incorporated

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S.-manufactured upholstered units (90.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.2
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE9.8%
Rev Growth-0.1%
Beta1.27
Dividend2.43%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicU.S.-manufactured upholstered units90%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 90% of the upholstered units sold in North America were produced in the United States'
  • MEDIUMSupplierpolyurethane foam suppliers (top-3)
    10-K Item 1: 'We purchase most of our polyurethane foam from three suppliers, which have several facilities across the United States'
  • MEDIUMSuppliercover fabric/leather suppliers
    10-K Item 1: 'We purchase cover from a variety of sources, but we rely on a limited number of major suppliers.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierVietnam-sourced imported finished goods
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2026, we purchased over 90% of this imported product from Vietnam, with the vast majority coming from five major suppliers.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $35.06Resistance $44.90

Price Targets

$37
$44
A.Upside+10.2%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.0% upside)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LZB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.91, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S.-manufactured upholstered units (90.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $44.00 (+10.2%), stop $37.12 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LZB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.00 (+10.2% upside). Target $44.00 (+10.2%), stop $37.12 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $37.12.

What are the risks of investing in LZB?

Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S.-manufactured upholstered units (90.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is LZB overvalued or undervalued?

La-Z-Boy Incorporated trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LZB?

7 analysts cover LZB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $46.

What does La-Z-Boy Incorporated do?La-Z-Boy is the leading global producer of reclining chairs and one of the largest U.S. residential furniture...

La-Z-Boy is the leading global producer of reclining chairs and one of the largest U.S. residential furniture manufacturers, selling upholstered furniture and casegoods under the La-Z-Boy, England, and Joybird tradenames. The company operates through Retail (378 La-Z-Boy Stores, 230 company-owned) and Wholesale segments, manufacturing approximately 90% of its North American upholstered units domestically to limit tariff exposure. La-Z-Boy sources key inputs like polyurethane foam and cover fabric/leather from a limited number of major suppliers, and Vietnam supplied over 90% of its imported fi

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