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LZBLa-Z-Boy IncorporatedSell5.1·$33.06
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

La-Z-Boy sits at the analyst price target with earnings reporting today, leaving no measurable upside and a binary event risk that makes initiating or adding to a position unattractive despite a constructive technical setup and reasonable valuation.

Thesis pillars

  • Price At Analyst Target↑Improving
  • Earnings Binary Event Today→Stable
  • Solid Cash Conversion Piotroski→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jun 16, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

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La-Z-Boy Incorporated (LZB) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Sell if holding. At $33.06, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S.-manufactured upholstered units (90.0%).

La-Z-Boy is the leading global producer of reclining chairs and one of the largest U.S. residential furniture manufacturers, selling upholstered furniture and casegoods under the La-Z-Boy, England, and Joybird tradenames. The company operates through Retail (378 La-Z-Boy Stores,... Read more

$33.06+5.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#10 of 13 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield13.81%
IncomeYield2.93%(5y avg 2.26%)Payout47.78%sustainable
Stop $31.08Analyst target $34.85(−15% haircut)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst consensus$41.00+24.0%2 analysts with price targets
$34.85Analyst target
$33.06price
$41.00mean
$42

Sell if holding. At $33.06, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S.-manufactured upholstered units (90.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About La-Z-Boy Incorporated

About La-Z-Boy Incorporated

La-Z-Boy manufactures and retails upholstered furniture and casegoods under the La-Z-Boy, England, and Joybird brands, anchored by a network of 378 La-Z-Boy Stores (230 company-owned), over 500 Comfort Studio locations, and nearly 900 branded-space locations across North America. The company disposed of its Kincaid and American Drew wholesale casegoods businesses in fiscal 2026 and 2027 to focus on its core upholstery operations, and approximately 90% of upholstered units sold in North America were manufactured domestically in fiscal 2026.

La-Z-Boy's Retail segment sells directly to consumers through company-owned stores, while its Wholesale segment manufactures and sells to independently owned La-Z-Boy Stores, Comfort Studio and branded-space locations, and other dealers, with approximately 60% of fiscal 2026 Wholesale segment sales flowing through this proprietary dealer network. Manufacturing inputs include polyurethane foam sourced mostly from three suppliers and cover fabric and leather from a limited number of major suppliers across China, Brazil, Vietnam, and the United States, while Vietnam alone supplied over 90% of the company's smaller imported-finished-goods category (itself about 5% of consolidated sales) through five major suppliers. Wholesale backlog fell to $74.9 million as of April 25, 2026 from $119.5 million a year earlier, reflecting softer consumer demand, and the company is eligible for a refund of certain tariffs following a February 2026 U.S. Supreme Court ruling invalidating IEEPA-based duties, though the amount and timing remain uncertain.

Show full overview

La-Z-Boy's tariff mitigation strategy - manufacturing roughly 90% of North American upholstered units domestically - shields the bulk of its business from import duties, but that protection does not extend to its smaller, higher-margin casegoods import book, where over 90% of finished-goods purchases came from Vietnam through just five major suppliers in fiscal 2026, and rising tariffs and ocean freight costs already pushed those import prices higher during the year. The upholstery supply chain carries its own concentration: most polyurethane foam comes from three suppliers, and cover fabric and leather depend on a limited number of major vendors, so a disruption at any one of these suppliers could still interrupt production even though the tariff exposure on that production is comparatively low.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

From La-Z-Boy Incorporated's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — La-Z-Boy Incorporated

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:10Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 17, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S.-manufactured upholstered units (90.0%)
Thin upside margin: 5.4%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.7
P/E (Fwd)11.8
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth-3.4%
Beta1.27
Dividend2.93%
Analysts with ratings7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.23bullish
IV80%elevated
Max Pain$18-47.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicU.S.-manufactured upholstered units90%
    10-K Item 1: 'approximately 90% of the upholstered units sold in North America were produced in the United States'
  • MEDIUMSupplierpolyurethane foam suppliers (top-3)
    10-K Item 1: 'We purchase most of our polyurethane foam from three suppliers, which have several facilities across the United States'
  • MEDIUMSuppliercover fabric/leather suppliers
    10-K Item 1: 'We purchase cover from a variety of sources, but we rely on a limited number of major suppliers.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierVietnam-sourced imported finished goods
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2026, we purchased over 90% of this imported product from Vietnam, with the vast majority coming from five major suppliers.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.7
Declining revenue: -3%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
4.8
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Quality Rank
3.6
Value Rank
5.7
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $28.39Resistance $33.13

Price Targets

$31
$35
A.Upside+5.4%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-17 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LZB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $33.06, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.4%; Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S.-manufactured upholstered units (90.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Prior stop was $31.08. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the LZB stock price target?

Analyst target: $34.85 (+5.4% upside). Prior stop was $31.08. Stop-loss: $31.08.

What are the risks of investing in LZB?

Concentration risk — Geographic: U.S.-manufactured upholstered units (90.0%); Thin upside margin: 5.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Is LZB overvalued or undervalued?

La-Z-Boy Incorporated trades at a P/E of 16.7 (forward 11.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LZB?

7 analysts rate LZB, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $41.

What does La-Z-Boy Incorporated do?La-Z-Boy is the leading global producer of reclining chairs and one of the largest U.S. residential furniture...

La-Z-Boy is the leading global producer of reclining chairs and one of the largest U.S. residential furniture manufacturers, selling upholstered furniture and casegoods under the La-Z-Boy, England, and Joybird tradenames. The company operates through Retail (378 La-Z-Boy Stores, 230 company-owned) and Wholesale segments, manufacturing approximately 90% of its North American upholstered units domestically to limit tariff exposure. La-Z-Boy sources key inputs like polyurethane foam and cover fabric/leather from a limited number of major suppliers, and Vietnam supplied over 90% of its imported fi

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