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MasterBrand, Inc. (MBC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.90B below $1B minimum.

MasterBrand, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of residential cabinets in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company offers a range of residential cabinetry products, such as stock, semi-custom, and premium cabinetry for the kitchen, bathroom, and other parts of... Read more

$7.09+12.2% A.UpsideScore 3.9/10#11 of 11 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield2.38%
Stop $6.60Target $7.91(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$9.30+31.2%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.90B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.90B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — MasterBrand, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $0.90B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$902M
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn-0.1%
ROE-0.2%
Rev Growth-6.4%
Beta1.54
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.9
Declining revenue: -6%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
1.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.4
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.6
Gross Margin
1.8
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
7.2
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 5.9% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Short Interest
1.3
Beta
4.9
Debt Equity
5.2
High short interest justified: 22%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.8
Value Rank
6.4
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.80Resistance $9.64

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside+11.6%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $0.90B below $1B minimum
! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MBC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Market cap $0.90B below $1B minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.90B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $7.91 (+11.6%), stop $6.60 (−7.4%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.

What is the MBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.91 (+12.2% upside). Target $7.91 (+11.6%), stop $6.60 (−7.4%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $6.60.

What are the risks of investing in MBC?

Market cap $0.90B below $1B minimum.

Is MBC overvalued or undervalued?

MasterBrand, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MBC?

5 analysts cover MBC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $9.

What does MasterBrand, Inc. do?MasterBrand, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of residential cabinets in the United States, Canada, and Mexico....

MasterBrand, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of residential cabinets in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company offers a range of residential cabinetry products, such as stock, semi-custom, and premium cabinetry for the kitchen, bathroom, and other parts of the home. It sells its products to remodeling and new construction markets through dealers, retailers, and builders. MasterBrand, Inc. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Beachwood, Ohio.

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