MasterBrand, Inc. (MBC) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the MBC stock price target?

Take-profit $9.85 (+9.8% upside). Prior stop was $8.34.

Q: Is MBC overvalued or undervalued?

MasterBrand, Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.5 (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about MBC?

5 analysts cover MBC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $12.

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.96: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Below-average business quality.

$8.96+9.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#10 of 11 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Stop $8.34Target $9.85(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.7:1

Analyst target$11.59+29.3%2 analysts

$9.85our TP

$8.96price

$11.59mean

$14

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.5

P/E (Fwd)18.5

Mkt Cap$1.2B

EV/EBITDA8.4

Profit Mgn1.0%

ROE2.0%

Rev Growth-3.5%

Beta1.67

DividendNone

Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C10.00bearish

IV159%elevated

Max Pain$5-44.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

6 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.715%1.16

Quality3.815%0.57

Growth5.815%0.87

Momentum3.510%0.35

Sentiment6.710%0.67

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank2.710%0.27

Technical Setup3.55%0.18

Risk Profile2.15%0.11

Catalyst2.85%0.14

Overall (Σ contributions)4.80

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Short Interest

0.0

Put Call

0.0

Implied Vol

0.0

Days To Cover

0.5

Volatility

2.8

Max Pain Risk

3.0

Beta

4.4

Debt Equity

5.8

High short interest: 20%Elevated put/call: 10.00High IV: 159%Above max pain $5

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

0.9

Growth Rank

0.9

Value Rank

4.1

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg

0.0

Earnings History

1.1

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 5 days

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

4.5

Macd

7.9

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position

2.6

Support Resistance

3.6

Bollinger

4.2

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.5

Roe

0.7

Gross Margin

2.0

Roa

2.2

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

6.0

Piotroski F

7.8

Fcf Quality

10.0

Excellent cash conversion: 459% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

60 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.79Resistance $9.64

Price Targets

$10

A.Upside+9.9%

A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 0.7:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MBC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.96: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 10.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $8.34. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.85 (+9.8% upside). Prior stop was $8.34. Stop-loss: $8.34.

What are the risks of investing in MBC?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is MBC overvalued or undervalued?

MasterBrand, Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.5 (forward 18.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MBC?

5 analysts cover MBC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $12.

What does MasterBrand, Inc. do?MasterBrand, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of residential cabinets in the United States, Canada, and Mexico....

MasterBrand, Inc. engages in the manufacture and sale of residential cabinets in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company offers a range of residential cabinetry products, such as stock, semi-custom, and premium cabinetry for the kitchen, bathroom, and other parts of the home. It sells its products to remodeling and new construction markets through dealers, retailers, and builders. MasterBrand, Inc. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Beachwood, Ohio.