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LIILennox International, Inc.Sell4.9·$527.82+3.06%
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Lennox International, Inc. (LII) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $527.82 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Lennox International designs, manufactures, and markets HVACR products across two segments: Home Comfort Solutions ($3.3B) and Building Climate Solutions ($1.9B), serving residential and commercial markets primarily in North America. Revenue is generated through a company-owned... Read more

$527.82+0.7% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#12 of 19 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.05%
IncomeYield1.06%(5y avg 1.13%)Payout23.10%sustainable
Stop $490.87Target $531.35(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$570.07+8.0%15 analysts
$531.35our TP
$527.82price
$570.07mean
$450
$650

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $527.82 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Weak overall score: 4.9/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.7
P/E (Fwd)19.2
Mkt Cap$17.8B
EV/EBITDA17.1
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE76.8%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta1.19
Dividend1.06%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$800+51.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.5
Revenue Growth
3.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
2.1
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.4
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $475.22Resistance $542.19

Price Targets

$491
$531
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $527.82 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $490.87. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the LII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $531.35 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $490.87. Stop-loss: $490.87.

What are the risks of investing in LII?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Weak overall score: 4.9/10.

Is LII overvalued or undervalued?

Lennox International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.7 (forward 19.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LII?

25 analysts cover LII with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $570.

What does Lennox International, Inc. do?Lennox International designs, manufactures, and markets HVACR products across two segments: Home Comfort Solutions...

Lennox International designs, manufactures, and markets HVACR products across two segments: Home Comfort Solutions ($3.3B) and Building Climate Solutions ($1.9B), serving residential and commercial markets primarily in North America. Revenue is generated through a company-owned direct-to-dealer network, independent wholesale distributors, and Lennox Stores; total 2025 net sales were $5.2B.

Related stocks: AWI (Armstrong World Industries Inc) · MAS (Masco Corporation) · JCI (Johnson Controls International ) · WMS (Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.) · SPXC (SPX Technologies, Inc.)
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