Lennox International is a high-quality industrial business with a return on equity of 77% and consistent earnings execution, but with the current price sitting about 1.4% below near-term resistance and a reward-to-risk ratio of 0.2-to-1, the setup strongly favors waiting for a better entry over adding exposure at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Returns And Margins→Stable
- Consistent Earnings Execution→Stable
- Price At Resistance Poor Geometry→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Lennox International, Inc. (LII) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $570.03 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.
Lennox International designs and manufactures HVACR products across two North American segments — Home Comfort Solutions (residential furnaces, ACs, heat pumps) and Building Climate Solutions (commercial HVAC and refrigeration). In 2025, the company generated $5,195.3 million in... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $570.03 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About Lennox International, Inc.
About Lennox International, Inc.
Lennox International's Home Comfort Solutions segment generated $3,343.4 million of the company's $5,195.3 million in 2025 net sales; Building Climate Solutions — covering commercial HVAC, refrigeration, and the October 2025 Duro Dyne and Supco acquisitions — contributed the remaining $1,851.9 million. Operations are concentrated in North America, with manufacturing in the U.S. and Mexico. The company employed approximately 12,900 people at December 31, 2025 — roughly 8,500 in the U.S. and 3,200 in Mexico.
Lennox earns revenue across two primary distribution models: the company-owned channel sells Lennox-branded products directly to independent dealers, and the independent distribution system sells Armstrong Air, Ducane, AirEase, and related brands through wholesale distributors. National Account Services provides installation and service for commercial customers under multi-facility contracts. Raw material exposure centers on steel, aluminum, and copper, while compressors, motors, and controls are the most significant component purchases; Lennox holds a minority equity stake in a joint venture manufacturing compressors. Competitors in residential HVAC include Carrier Global Corporation, Trane Technologies, Daikin Industries, and Paloma Industries. Revenue is seasonal: summer air conditioning demand makes the second and third quarters the strongest, with roughly twice as many units shipped in June as in December. The company regularly pre-purchases portions of raw materials at fixed prices to reduce commodity cost volatility.
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Lennox's business is directly subject to U.S. Department of Energy energy conservation standards — the company successfully updated product lines to comply with the latest standards in 2023. Transition to refrigerants with a GWP of 700 or less for most commercial and residential HVAC products became effective January 1, 2025, under EPA authority established by the American Innovation and Manufacturing Act. Future refrigerant or efficiency rule changes could require additional capital expenditure; the 10-K also notes approximately 26% of core workforce locations are unionized, with the Marshalltown, Iowa union contract ratified in November 2021 and future negotiations carrying uncertain outcomes.
See also: Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
From Lennox International, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Lennox International, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Lennox International, Inc. (NYSE:LII) Sees Significant Decline in Short Interest - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Is Lennox International (LII) stock reversing today (Idled) 2026-04-22 - Bullish Pattern - Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh L — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai positive
- NEWS Is Lennox International (LII) stock reversing today (Idled) 2026-04-22 - AI Powered Stock Picks - Xã Vĩnh Công — Xã Vĩnh Công neutral
- NEWS Is Lennox International (LII) stock reversing today (Idled) 2026-04-22 - AI Powered Stock Picks - UBND thành phố Hải Phò — UBND thành phố Hải Phòng neutral
- NEWS Is Lennox International (LII) stock reversing today (Idled) 2026-04-22 - AI Powered Stock Picks - Cổng thông tin điện tử — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai neutral
Generated 2026-07-06T06:50:34Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-28Item 5.02LOWDirector Sivasankaran Somasundaram resigned from Lennox International's Board effective May 23, 2026, citing other professional responsibilities and time commitments. No disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices. Board reduced from 9 to 8 members; no successor named.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $570.03 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $531.39. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $575.52 (+1.0% upside). Prior stop was $531.39. Stop-loss: $531.39.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Weak overall score: 4.8/10.
Lennox International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.3 (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover LII with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $571.
What does Lennox International, Inc. do?Lennox International designs and manufactures HVACR products across two North American segments — Home Comfort...
Lennox International designs and manufactures HVACR products across two North American segments — Home Comfort Solutions (residential furnaces, ACs, heat pumps) and Building Climate Solutions (commercial HVAC and refrigeration). In 2025, the company generated $5,195.3 million in net sales, selling through direct dealer networks, independent distributors, and company-owned Lennox Stores.