Skip to main content
LIILennox International, Inc.Sell5.2·$541.13+0.60%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lennox International is a high-quality industrial business with a return on equity of 77% and consistent earnings execution, but with the current price sitting about 1.4% below near-term resistance and a reward-to-risk ratio of 0.2-to-1, the setup strongly favors waiting for a better entry over adding exposure at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Returns And MarginsStable
  • Consistent Earnings ExecutionStable
  • Price At Resistance Poor GeometryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lennox International, Inc. (LII) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Earnings in 4 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $541.13 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Lennox International designs and manufactures HVACR products across two North American segments — Home Comfort Solutions (residential furnaces, ACs, heat pumps) and Building Climate Solutions (commercial HVAC and refrigeration). In 2025, the company generated $5,195.3 million in... Read more

$541.13-7.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#17 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.99%
IncomeYield1.01%(5y avg 1.13%)Payout23.10%sustainable
Stop $507.99Target $575.52(resistance)A.R:R -1.2:1
Analyst target$576.46+6.5%13 analysts
$575.52our TP
$541.13price
$576.46mean
$450
$651

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $541.13 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Lennox International, Inc.

About Lennox International, Inc.

Lennox International's Home Comfort Solutions segment generated $3,343.4 million of the company's $5,195.3 million in 2025 net sales; Building Climate Solutions — covering commercial HVAC, refrigeration, and the October 2025 Duro Dyne and Supco acquisitions — contributed the remaining $1,851.9 million. Operations are concentrated in North America, with manufacturing in the U.S. and Mexico. The company employed approximately 12,900 people at December 31, 2025 — roughly 8,500 in the U.S. and 3,200 in Mexico.

Lennox earns revenue across two primary distribution models: the company-owned channel sells Lennox-branded products directly to independent dealers, and the independent distribution system sells Armstrong Air, Ducane, AirEase, and related brands through wholesale distributors. National Account Services provides installation and service for commercial customers under multi-facility contracts. Raw material exposure centers on steel, aluminum, and copper, while compressors, motors, and controls are the most significant component purchases; Lennox holds a minority equity stake in a joint venture manufacturing compressors. Competitors in residential HVAC include Carrier Global Corporation, Trane Technologies, Daikin Industries, and Paloma Industries. Revenue is seasonal: summer air conditioning demand makes the second and third quarters the strongest, with roughly twice as many units shipped in June as in December. The company regularly pre-purchases portions of raw materials at fixed prices to reduce commodity cost volatility.

Show full overview

Lennox's business is directly subject to U.S. Department of Energy energy conservation standards — the company successfully updated product lines to comply with the latest standards in 2023. Transition to refrigerants with a GWP of 700 or less for most commercial and residential HVAC products became effective January 1, 2025, under EPA authority established by the American Innovation and Manufacturing Act. Future refrigerant or efficiency rule changes could require additional capital expenditure; the 10-K also notes approximately 26% of core workforce locations are unionized, with the Marshalltown, Iowa union contract ratified in November 2021 and future negotiations carrying uncertain outcomes.

See also: Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

From Lennox International, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20264d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.9
P/E (Fwd)20.2
Mkt Cap$18.8B
EV/EBITDA18.0
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE76.8%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta1.16
Dividend1.01%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV49%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-28Item 5.02LOW
    Director Sivasankaran Somasundaram resigned from Lennox International's Board effective May 23, 2026, citing other professional responsibilities and time commitments. No disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices. Board reduced from 9 to 8 members; no successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.5
Revenue Growth
3.9
GatesA.R:R -1.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $523.16Resistance $587.27

Price Targets

$508
$576
A.Upside-7.3%
A.R:R-1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $541.13 — A.R:R is negative (-1.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $507.99. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $575.52 (-7.3% upside). Prior stop was $507.99. Stop-loss: $507.99.

What are the risks of investing in LII?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is LII overvalued or undervalued?

Lennox International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.9 (forward 20.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LII?

23 analysts cover LII with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $576.

What does Lennox International, Inc. do?Lennox International designs and manufactures HVACR products across two North American segments — Home Comfort...

Lennox International designs and manufactures HVACR products across two North American segments — Home Comfort Solutions (residential furnaces, ACs, heat pumps) and Building Climate Solutions (commercial HVAC and refrigeration). In 2025, the company generated $5,195.3 million in net sales, selling through direct dealer networks, independent distributors, and company-owned Lennox Stores.

Related stocks: AWI (Armstrong World Industries Inc) · MAIR (Madison Air Solutions Corporati) · JCI (Johnson Controls International ) · SPXC (SPX Technologies, Inc.) · AAON (AAON, Inc.)
Home Stocks LII

Latest news

Latest News

MarketBeat88d ago
Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai95d ago
Yahoo Finance95d ago
MarketBeat95d agoEarnings
TradingView89d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha90d ago
Marketscreener.com90d agoAnalyst
Meyka97d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance97d ago
Moomoo93d agoEarnings
Benzinga38d agoMerger Acquisition
Benzinga45d ago
Benzinga55d ago
Benzinga66d ago
Benzinga73d ago
Benzinga87d agoAnalyst
Benzinga87d agoAnalyst
Benzinga87d agoAnalyst
Benzinga88d agoEarnings
Benzinga88d agoEarnings
Loading more...