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Lennox International, Inc. (LII) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $546.68 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-location production facilities.

Lennox International designs and manufactures HVACR equipment under two segments: Home Comfort Solutions ($3.3B 2025 net sales) and Building Climate Solutions ($1.9B), serving residential, commercial, and refrigeration markets primarily in North America. Revenue comes from... Read more

$546.68-1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#11 of 18 Building Products & Equipment
Stop $507.39Target $537.17(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$544.35-0.4%17 analysts
$537.17our TP
$546.68price
$544.35mean
$450
$645

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $546.68 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-location production facilities. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-location production facilities
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.0
P/E (Fwd)19.5
Mkt Cap$18.0B
EV/EBITDA17.2
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE76.8%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta
Dividend1.00%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.29bearish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-location production facilities
    10-K Item 1A: 'We manufacture many of our products at single-location production facilities. In certain instances, we heavily rely on suppliers who also may concentrate production in single locations or source unique, necessary products from only one supplier.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.9
Revenue Growth
3.9
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $444.88Resistance $548.13

Price Targets

$507
$537
A.Upside-1.7%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $546.68 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-location production facilities. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $507.39. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the LII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $537.17 (-1.5% upside). Prior stop was $507.39. Stop-loss: $507.39.

What are the risks of investing in LII?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-location production facilities; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is LII overvalued or undervalued?

Lennox International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.0 (forward 19.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LII?

24 analysts cover LII with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $544.

What does Lennox International, Inc. do?Lennox International designs and manufactures HVACR equipment under two segments: Home Comfort Solutions ($3.3B 2025...

Lennox International designs and manufactures HVACR equipment under two segments: Home Comfort Solutions ($3.3B 2025 net sales) and Building Climate Solutions ($1.9B), serving residential, commercial, and refrigeration markets primarily in North America. Revenue comes from independent dealers, distributors, and national accounts via a direct-to-dealer network and Lennox Stores. Total 2025 net sales were $5.2 billion.

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