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LIILennox International, Inc.Sell5.0·$528.33+0.79%
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Lennox International, Inc. (LII) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $528.33 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Lennox International designs, manufactures, and markets HVACR products across two segments: Home Comfort Solutions ($3.3B) and Building Climate Solutions ($1.9B), serving residential and commercial markets primarily in North America. Revenue is generated through a company-owned... Read more

$528.33+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#12 of 19 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.03%
IncomeYield1.04%(5y avg 1.13%)Payout23.10%sustainable
Stop $491.35Target $531.35(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$570.07+7.9%15 analysts
$531.35our TP
$528.33price
$570.07mean
$450
$650

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $528.33 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Lennox International, Inc.

About Lennox International, Inc.

Lennox International's Home Comfort Solutions segment generated $3,343.4 million of the company's $5,195.3 million in 2025 net sales; Building Climate Solutions — covering commercial HVAC, refrigeration, and the October 2025 Duro Dyne and Supco acquisitions — contributed the remaining $1,851.9 million. Operations are concentrated in North America, with manufacturing in the U.S. and Mexico. The company employed approximately 12,900 people at December 31, 2025 — roughly 8,500 in the U.S. and 3,200 in Mexico.

Lennox earns revenue across two primary distribution models: the company-owned channel sells Lennox-branded products directly to independent dealers, and the independent distribution system sells Armstrong Air, Ducane, AirEase, and related brands through wholesale distributors. National Account Services provides installation and service for commercial customers under multi-facility contracts. Raw material exposure centers on steel, aluminum, and copper, while compressors, motors, and controls are the most significant component purchases; Lennox holds a minority equity stake in a joint venture manufacturing compressors. Competitors in residential HVAC include Carrier Global Corporation, Trane Technologies, Daikin Industries, and Paloma Industries. Revenue is seasonal: summer air conditioning demand makes the second and third quarters the strongest, with roughly twice as many units shipped in June as in December. The company regularly pre-purchases portions of raw materials at fixed prices to reduce commodity cost volatility.

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Lennox's business is directly subject to U.S. Department of Energy energy conservation standards — the company successfully updated product lines to comply with the latest standards in 2023. Transition to refrigerants with a GWP of 700 or less for most commercial and residential HVAC products became effective January 1, 2025, under EPA authority established by the American Innovation and Manufacturing Act. Future refrigerant or efficiency rule changes could require additional capital expenditure; the 10-K also notes approximately 26% of core workforce locations are unionized, with the Marshalltown, Iowa union contract ratified in November 2021 and future negotiations carrying uncertain outcomes.

See also: Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

From Lennox International, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Weak overall score: 5.0/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.3
P/E (Fwd)19.6
Mkt Cap$18.2B
EV/EBITDA17.5
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE76.8%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta1.19
Dividend1.04%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV47%normal
Max Pain$270-48.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.5
Revenue Growth
3.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.2
Support Resistance
2.1
52w Position
5.5
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $475.22Resistance $542.19

Price Targets

$491
$531
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $528.33 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $491.35. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the LII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $531.35 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $491.35. Stop-loss: $491.35.

What are the risks of investing in LII?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Weak overall score: 5.0/10.

Is LII overvalued or undervalued?

Lennox International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.3 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LII?

25 analysts cover LII with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $570.

What does Lennox International, Inc. do?Lennox International designs, manufactures, and markets HVACR products across two segments: Home Comfort Solutions...

Lennox International designs, manufactures, and markets HVACR products across two segments: Home Comfort Solutions ($3.3B) and Building Climate Solutions ($1.9B), serving residential and commercial markets primarily in North America. Revenue is generated through a company-owned direct-to-dealer network, independent wholesale distributors, and Lennox Stores; total 2025 net sales were $5.2B.

Related stocks: AWI (Armstrong World Industries Inc) · MAS (Masco Corporation) · JCI (Johnson Controls International ) · WMS (Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.) · AAON (AAON, Inc.)
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