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Lennox International, Inc. (LII) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $501.41 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Lennox International designs, manufactures, and markets HVACR products across two segments: Home Comfort Solutions ($3.3B) and Building Climate Solutions ($1.9B), serving residential and commercial markets primarily in North America. Revenue is generated through a company-owned... Read more

$501.41+1.8% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#15 of 18 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.07%
IncomeYield1.04%(5y avg 1.13%)Payout23.10%sustainable
Stop $470.23Target $510.36(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$567.06+13.1%16 analysts
$510.36our TP
$501.41price
$567.06mean
$450
$650

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $501.41 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Val5.5Qual6.3Grw2.2Mom2.2Sent6.6Ins5.0Peer5.9Tech6.3Risk5.64.9OVERALL

Recent Developments — Lennox International, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.3
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$17.4B
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE76.8%
Rev Growth5.8%
Beta1.23
Dividend1.04%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.10bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$800+59.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.5
Revenue Growth
3.9

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.6
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $484.77Resistance $551.50

Price Targets

$470
$510
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.8% upside)
! Momentum score 2.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LII stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $501.41 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $470.23. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the LII stock price target?

Take-profit target: $510.36 (+1.8% upside). Prior stop was $470.23. Stop-loss: $470.23.

What are the risks of investing in LII?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is LII overvalued or undervalued?

Lennox International, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.3 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LII?

25 analysts cover LII with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $567.

What does Lennox International, Inc. do?Lennox International designs, manufactures, and markets HVACR products across two segments: Home Comfort Solutions...

Lennox International designs, manufactures, and markets HVACR products across two segments: Home Comfort Solutions ($3.3B) and Building Climate Solutions ($1.9B), serving residential and commercial markets primarily in North America. Revenue is generated through a company-owned direct-to-dealer network, independent wholesale distributors, and Lennox Stores; total 2025 net sales were $5.2B.

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