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LEALear CorporationSell5.6·$145.45+0.20%
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Lear Corporation (LEA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $145.45: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Lear Corporation supplies complete seat systems and electrical distribution/connection systems (E-Systems) to all major automotive OEMs globally, with 258 locations in 36 countries. In 2025 it generated $23.3B in revenues split roughly 42% North America, 35% Europe/Africa, and... Read more

$145.45+0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#11 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.43%
IncomeYield2.12%(5y avg 2.27%)Payout30.80%sustainable
Stop $136.28Target $146.55(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$147.93+1.7%14 analysts
$146.55our TP
$145.45price
$147.93mean
$130
$179

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $145.45: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Lear Corporation

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-11.5% upside)
Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-10.2% YoY), High leverage (D/E 1.6)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.5
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$7.3B
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE12.2%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta1.25
Dividend2.12%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$55-62.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $125.62Resistance $149.54

Price Targets

$136
$147
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-10.2% YoY), High leverage (D/E 1.6)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $145.45: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $136.28. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $146.55 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $136.28. Stop-loss: $136.28.

What are the risks of investing in LEA?

Target reached (-11.5% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-10.2% YoY), High leverage (D/E 1.6).

Is LEA overvalued or undervalued?

Lear Corporation trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEA?

22 analysts cover LEA with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $148.

What does Lear Corporation do?Lear Corporation supplies complete seat systems and electrical distribution/connection systems (E-Systems) to all major...

Lear Corporation supplies complete seat systems and electrical distribution/connection systems (E-Systems) to all major automotive OEMs globally, with 258 locations in 36 countries. In 2025 it generated $23.3B in revenues split roughly 42% North America, 35% Europe/Africa, and 20% Asia.

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