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Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $249.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away).

Modine Manufacturing designs and manufactures thermal management solutions across two segments: Climate Solutions (HVAC, data center cooling, school/healthcare air quality) and Performance Technologies (vehicular heat transfer). It generated $2.6B in net sales in fiscal 2025,... Read more

$249.19+2.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#14 of 26 Auto Parts
Stop $231.85Target $254.81(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$265.57+6.6%7 analysts
$254.81our TP
$249.19price
$265.57mean
$310

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $249.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.1% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)128.2
P/E (Fwd)31.6
Mkt Cap$12.3B
EV/EBITDA30.9
Profit Mgn3.4%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth30.5%
Beta1.68
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV85%elevated
Max Pain$65-73.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerdata centers, Gensets, and vehicular businesses customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'including data centers, Gensets, and some portions of our vehicular businesses, a large portion of sales are attributable to a relatively small number of customers'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.5
Quality Rank
5.1
Growth Rank
9.2
Industry growth leader
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $206.00Resistance $260.01

Price Targets

$232
$255
A.Upside+2.3%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.3% upside)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-19 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MOD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $249.19 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $231.85. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MOD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $254.81 (+2.2% upside). Prior stop was $231.85. Stop-loss: $231.85.

What are the risks of investing in MOD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away); Expensive valuation.

Is MOD overvalued or undervalued?

Modine Manufacturing Company trades at a P/E of 128.2 (forward 31.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MOD?

14 analysts cover MOD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $266.

What does Modine Manufacturing Company do?Modine Manufacturing designs and manufactures thermal management solutions across two segments: Climate Solutions...

Modine Manufacturing designs and manufactures thermal management solutions across two segments: Climate Solutions (HVAC, data center cooling, school/healthcare air quality) and Performance Technologies (vehicular heat transfer). It generated $2.6B in net sales in fiscal 2025, driven by significant data center cooling growth, serving data center operators, HVAC OEMs, and vehicular manufacturers globally.

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