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MODModine Manufacturing CompanyBuy Wait5.7·$284.97-0.26%
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Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Wait for pullback to $265.17. At $284.97 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $265.17 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.1%.

Modine Manufacturing designs and manufactures thermal management systems across Climate Solutions (data center cooling, HVAC&R) and Performance Technologies (vehicular heat exchangers) segments. The company generated $3.2 billion in net sales in fiscal 2026, a 23% increase,... Read more

$284.97+12.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#11 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.67%
Entry $265.17(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $224.19Target $296.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1Setup A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$340.86+19.6%7 analysts
$296.55our TP
$284.97price
$340.86mean
$370

Wait for pullback to $265.17. At $284.97 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $265.17 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.1%. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Modine Manufacturing Company

About Modine Manufacturing Company

In fiscal 2026, Modine Manufacturing generated $3.2 billion in net sales, a 23% increase from $2.6 billion in fiscal 2025, with Data Centers representing 35% of revenue, On-Highway Applications 23%, Heat Transfer Solutions 18%, Heavy-Duty Equipment 13%, and HVAC Technologies 11%. Export sales from the U.S. represented 6% of consolidated net sales. The company operates manufacturing and technical facilities across four continents: North America, South America, Europe, and Asia.

Modine earns revenue through two operating segments. Climate Solutions serves hyperscale, colocation, NeoCloud, and edge data center operators in North America, EMEA, and Asia Pacific, as well as HVAC&R OEMs, wholesalers, and industrial end users. Performance Technologies supplies heat exchangers and cooling systems to commercial vehicle, agricultural, construction, and automotive OEMs across North America, South America, Europe, and Asia. The top ten customers accounted for 49% of net sales in fiscal 2026, and one global technology customer in Climate Solutions represented approximately 11% of sales. Raw material costs — particularly aluminum, copper, and steel — fluctuate with commodity pricing, and the company has sought price adjustment provisions in longer-term customer contracts. In January 2026, Modine entered into a definitive agreement to spin off Performance Technologies to Gentherm Incorporated via a Reverse Morris Trust transaction expected to close by calendar 2026 year-end, which would concentrate the remaining company in data center and commercial HVAC&R.

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Modine's Performance Technologies segment serves agricultural, construction, and commercial vehicle OEMs that have faced acute cyclical headwinds. North American, Brazilian, and European agricultural markets experienced significant declines across fiscal 2025 and continued weakness in fiscal 2026, as lower crop prices, higher interest rates, and geopolitical trade restrictions led farmers to defer equipment purchases. The 10-K anticipates challenging agricultural conditions will persist in fiscal 2027, layered on top of continued softness in North American and European commercial vehicle markets.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

From Modine Manufacturing Company's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.1%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)126.4
P/E (Fwd)25.2
Mkt Cap$15.1B
EV/EBITDA34.8
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth47.5%
Beta1.66
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.82bearish
IV88%elevated
Max Pain$125-56.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerten largest customers49%
    10-K Item 1: 'our ten largest customers accounted for 49 percent of our net sales in fiscal 2026'
  • LOWCustomerone global technology customer11%
    10-K Item 1: 'one global technology customer in our Climate Solutions segment accounted for approximately 11 percent of our sales'
  • MEDIUMProductData Centers35%
    10-K Item 1: 'Data Centers| | 35| %'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.2
Quality Rank
5.2
Growth Rank
8.8
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $232.31Resistance $323.25

Price Targets

$224
$265
$297
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R0.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MOD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $265.17. At $284.97 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $265.17 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 4.1%. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $296.55 (+4.1%), stop $224.19 (−27.1%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MOD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $296.55 (+12.1% upside). Target $296.55 (+4.1%), stop $224.19 (−27.1%), Setup A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $224.19.

What are the risks of investing in MOD?

Thin upside margin: 4.1%.

Is MOD overvalued or undervalued?

Modine Manufacturing Company trades at a P/E of 126.4 (forward 25.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about MOD?

14 analysts cover MOD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $341.

What does Modine Manufacturing Company do?Modine Manufacturing designs and manufactures thermal management systems across Climate Solutions (data center cooling,...

Modine Manufacturing designs and manufactures thermal management systems across Climate Solutions (data center cooling, HVAC&R) and Performance Technologies (vehicular heat exchangers) segments. The company generated $3.2 billion in net sales in fiscal 2026, a 23% increase, driven by data center cooling demand from hyperscale and colocation customers.

Related stocks: HSAI (Hesai Group) · DCH (Dauch Corporation) · PHIN (PHINIA Inc.) · GNTX (Gentex Corporation) · GTX (Garrett Motion Inc.)
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