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Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-26). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $249.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).

Modine Manufacturing engineers thermal management solutions across Climate Solutions (data center cooling 25%, heat transfer, HVAC&R) and Performance Technologies (air-cooled/liquid-cooled vehicular, advanced EV) segments. Consolidated net sales were $2.6B in FY2025 (FY ends... Read more

$249.34+17.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#18 of 27 Auto Parts
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.85%
Stop $227.38Target $288.18(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$265.57+6.5%7 analysts
$288.18our TP
$249.34price
$265.57mean
$310

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $249.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Modine Manufacturing Company

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)133.6
P/E (Fwd)33.1
Mkt Cap$12.9B
EV/EBITDA32.3
Profit Mgn3.4%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth30.5%
Beta1.66
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C11.68bearish
IV92%elevated
Max Pain$125-49.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.2
Quality Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
8.8
Industry growth leader

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
3.4
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
6.5
Ps
7.3
Forward P/E: 33.1xPEG: 1.12
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $227.38Resistance $294.06

Price Targets

$227
$288
A.Upside+15.6%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.5% upside)
! Momentum score 4.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-26 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MOD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $249.34 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $227.38. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the MOD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $288.18 (+17.9% upside). Prior stop was $227.38. Stop-loss: $227.38.

What are the risks of investing in MOD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is MOD overvalued or undervalued?

Modine Manufacturing Company trades at a P/E of 133.6 (forward 33.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MOD?

14 analysts cover MOD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $266.

What does Modine Manufacturing Company do?Modine Manufacturing engineers thermal management solutions across Climate Solutions (data center cooling 25%, heat...

Modine Manufacturing engineers thermal management solutions across Climate Solutions (data center cooling 25%, heat transfer, HVAC&R) and Performance Technologies (air-cooled/liquid-cooled vehicular, advanced EV) segments. Consolidated net sales were $2.6B in FY2025 (FY ends March 31); top 10 customers accounted for 43% of net sales; operations span 16 countries.

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