Lear Corporation (LEA) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the LEA stock price target?

Take-profit $129.12 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $119.88.

Q: What are the risks of investing in LEA?

Target reached (-4.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-11.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), High leverage (D/E 1.6); Target reached (-4.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Q: Is LEA overvalued or undervalued?

Lear Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.2 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about LEA?

22 analysts cover LEA with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $140.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Earnings in 1 day (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $127.55: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below-average business quality.

Lear Corporation is a global automotive supplier providing complete seat systems (Seating segment) and electrical distribution/connection systems and electronic controllers (E-Systems segment) to all major automakers. Has 258 locations in 36 countries. Revenue is tied to OEM... Read more

$127.55+1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#8 of 26 Auto Parts

Stop $119.88Target $129.12(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1

Analyst target$139.86+9.6%14 analysts

$129.12our TP

$127.55price

$139.86mean

$115

$177

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-4.6% upside)

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-11.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), High leverage (D/E 1.6)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.2

P/E (Fwd)7.3

Mkt Cap$6.3B

EV/EBITDA5.4

Profit Mgn1.9%

ROE10.8%

Rev Growth4.8%

Beta1.25

Dividend2.49%

Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish

IV55%elevated

Max Pain$115-9.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.315%1.25

Quality3.815%0.57

Growth6.815%1.02

Momentum4.910%0.49

Sentiment6.210%0.62

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank4.210%0.42

Technical Setup4.55%0.23

Risk Profile5.55%0.28

Catalyst7.65%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)5.63

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.9

Operating Margin

1.8

Roa

3.0

Roe

3.6

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

5.1

Fcf Quality

6.6

Piotroski F

7.8

No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate

RSI

55 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $116.03Resistance $131.75

Price Targets

$120

$129

A.Upside+1.2%

A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-11.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), High leverage (D/E 1.6)

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-01 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is LEA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $127.55: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $119.88. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $129.12 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $119.88. Stop-loss: $119.88.

What are the risks of investing in LEA?

Target reached (-4.6% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Revenue declining (-11.2% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), High leverage (D/E 1.6).

Is LEA overvalued or undervalued?

Lear Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.2 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEA?

22 analysts cover LEA with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $140.

What does Lear Corporation do?Lear Corporation is a global automotive supplier providing complete seat systems (Seating segment) and electrical...