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JCIJohnson Controls International Buy Wait5.7·$144.96+0.66%
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Johnson Controls International (JCI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Wait for pullback to $133.78. BUY gates pass at $144.96, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (2.8% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $133.78 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Johnson Controls designs, manufactures, installs, and services commercial HVAC, fire, security, and building management systems globally through Americas, EMEA, and APAC segments. Revenue is earned from products/systems (68%) and services (32%), with a $16.6B backlog at... Read more

$144.96+9.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#4 of 19 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.25%
IncomeYield1.10%(5y avg 1.93%)Payout48.01%sustainable
Entry $133.78(support + ATR)Stop $127.38Target $146.12(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1Setup A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$154.90+6.9%21 analysts
$146.12our TP
$144.96price
$154.90mean
$111
$180

Wait for pullback to $133.78. BUY gates pass at $144.96, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (2.8% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $133.78 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.80, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.2
P/E (Fwd)25.2
Mkt Cap$88.4B
EV/EBITDA22.5
Profit Mgn14.5%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta1.34
Dividend1.10%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.03bullish
IV61%elevated
Max Pain$40-72.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.0
Quality Rank
5.6
Growth Rank
6.3
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.80EARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $131.32Resistance $149.10

Price Targets

$127
$134
$146
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-0.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.8% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JCI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $133.78. BUY gates pass at $144.96, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (2.8% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $133.78 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $146.12 (+0.8%), stop $127.38 (−13.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JCI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $146.12 (+9.2% upside). Target $146.12 (+0.8%), stop $127.38 (−13.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $127.38.

What are the risks of investing in JCI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.8% away).

Is JCI overvalued or undervalued?

Johnson Controls International trades at a P/E of 44.2 (forward 25.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about JCI?

27 analysts cover JCI with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $155.

What does Johnson Controls International do?Johnson Controls designs, manufactures, installs, and services commercial HVAC, fire, security, and building management...

Johnson Controls designs, manufactures, installs, and services commercial HVAC, fire, security, and building management systems globally through Americas, EMEA, and APAC segments. Revenue is earned from products/systems (68%) and services (32%), with a $16.6B backlog at September 30, 2025, serving commercial, industrial, data center, and government customers. The company completed the divestiture of its Residential and Light Commercial HVAC business to Bosch on July 31, 2025.

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