Four consecutive quarterly earnings beats and strong technical momentum confirm operational consistency, but the stock has essentially reached its near-term target with only 0.1% of headroom remaining; the setup favors patience for a better entry rather than immediate commitment at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Price Exhausted At Target→Stable
- Strong Technical Breakout Momentum→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Johnson Controls International (JCI) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $140.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.
Johnson Controls designs, manufactures, and services commercial HVAC systems, fire detection and suppression, security, and digital building solutions through three regional segments (Americas, EMEA, APAC), serving commercial, industrial, data center, and institutional customers... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $140.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About Johnson Controls International
About Johnson Controls International
Johnson Controls entered fiscal 2026 with $16.6 billion in backlog and $20.7 billion in fiscal 2025 orders—7% growth year over year—across three regional segments following the divestiture of its Residential and Light Commercial HVAC business to Robert Bosch GmbH on July 31, 2025. The Americas segment holds $10.6 billion of that backlog, EMEA holds $2.5 billion, and APAC $1.8 billion. In fiscal 2025, products and systems accounted for approximately 68% of sales from continuing operations, with services contributing 32%.
Johnson Controls generates revenue by designing, manufacturing, installing, and servicing commercial HVAC systems, fire detection and suppression, security, and building controls under brands including YORK, Metasys, Ansul, Frick, Simplex, and Grinnell, through a global direct sales and service channel supplemented by third-party distributors. Installation work creates an installed base that in turn generates recurring maintenance, retrofit, and replacement contracts—with multi-year service agreements for hospitals and government buildings carrying initial terms of 25 to 35 years. Remaining performance obligations totaled $22.7 billion at September 30, 2025. The company competes against Honeywell International, Siemens Smart Infrastructure, Schneider Electric, Carrier Global, and Trane Technologies in commercial HVAC and building controls. Raw material inputs include steel, copper, aluminum, semiconductors, and fluorochemicals; tariffs enacted in early 2025 increased input costs and introduced pricing uncertainty between order intake and backlog conversion.
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Johnson Controls' supply chain presents a documented single-source exposure: the 10-K states that some key parts may be available only from a single supplier or a limited group of suppliers, exposing backlog conversion timing and margins to availability risk. Tariffs enacted beginning in February 2025 have already increased input costs, with the company acknowledging that additional tariff escalation could reduce revenue growth and compress margins in future periods if they cannot be offset through pricing adjustments to customers.
See also: Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
From Johnson Controls International 's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-03Recent Developments — Johnson Controls International
Latest news
- NEWS Stonebrook Private Inc. Sells 17,073 Shares of Johnson Controls International plc $JCI - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Johnson Controls (JCI) Receives Positive Outlook from Bernstein - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Johnson Controls Stock Slips Despite Q1 Earnings Beat - Benzinga — Benzinga positive
- NEWS Johnson Controls beats Q2 estimates, but margins and macro risks weigh on shares (JCI:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS Johnson Controls Reports Strong Q2 Results; Raises FY26 Guidance - PR Newswire — PR Newswire positive
Generated 2026-07-03T19:49:37Z.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $140.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $134.01. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $148.16 (+5.3% upside). Prior stop was $134.01. Stop-loss: $134.01.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.
Johnson Controls International trades at a P/E of 43.0 (forward 24.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover JCI with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $155.
What does Johnson Controls International do?Johnson Controls designs, manufactures, and services commercial HVAC systems, fire detection and suppression, security,...
Johnson Controls designs, manufactures, and services commercial HVAC systems, fire detection and suppression, security, and digital building solutions through three regional segments (Americas, EMEA, APAC), serving commercial, industrial, data center, and institutional customers globally. Following the July 2025 sale of its residential HVAC business to Robert Bosch GmbH, the company reported $16.6 billion in backlog at September 30, 2025, with products and systems accounting for approximately 68% of sales.