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Masco Corporation (MAS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $71.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (38.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Masco designs, manufactures, and distributes branded home improvement products globally including BEHR paint, DELTA/HANSGROHE faucets, LIBERTY hardware, and HOT SPRING spas in Plumbing Products and Decorative Architectural Products segments. In 2025, 21% of sales were outside... Read more

$71.84+1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#2 of 18 Building Products & Equipment
Stop $66.82Target $72.95(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$81.05+12.8%19 analysts
$72.95our TP
$71.84price
$81.05mean
$67
$97

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $71.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (38.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val6.3Qual6.5Grw5.0Mom6.7Sent7.0Ins3.8Peer5.3Tech4.5Risk4.35.7OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.74)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (38.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 122.3): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.6
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA12.1
Profit Mgn10.9%
ROE8457.1%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta1.29
Dividend1.80%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$50-30.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerThe Home Depot38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our net sales to The Home Depot were $2.9 billion (approximately 38 percent of our consolidated net sales)...Any such loss would have a material adverse impact on our business'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jai Shah, Group President Plumbing and Wellness, will conclude service July 3, 2026 per April 16 separation agreement. Cash payment $1,206,000 plus prorated bonus and equity awards. No successor named for his role.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 1.01MEDIUM
    Masco entered new Credit Agreement dated March 20, 2026 with JPMorgan Chase providing a $1 billion unsecured revolving credit facility, replacing the prior 2022 Credit Agreement. Available for general corporate purposes including acquisitions.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Prior Credit Agreement dated April 26, 2022 with JPMorgan Chase was terminated March 20, 2026 upon entry into the new Credit Agreement. No reason cited beyond replacement.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-12Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee approved full-value RSU award of $1,749,000 for CEO Jonathon Nudi on February 6, 2026, modifying previously disclosed pro-rata RSU arrangement. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $58.41Resistance $76.10

Price Targets

$67
$73
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $71.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (38.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $72.95 (+1.5%), stop $66.82 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.95 (+1.5% upside). Target $72.95 (+1.5%), stop $66.82 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $66.82.

What are the risks of investing in MAS?

Concentration risk — Customer: The Home Depot (38.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 122.3): -1.5.

Is MAS overvalued or undervalued?

Masco Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.6 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MAS?

27 analysts cover MAS with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $81.

What does Masco Corporation do?Masco designs, manufactures, and distributes branded home improvement products globally including BEHR paint,...

Masco designs, manufactures, and distributes branded home improvement products globally including BEHR paint, DELTA/HANSGROHE faucets, LIBERTY hardware, and HOT SPRING spas in Plumbing Products and Decorative Architectural Products segments. In 2025, 21% of sales were outside North America.

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