Skip to main content
MASMasco CorporationSell5.8·$74.80+0.63%
Open full analysis

Masco Corporation (MAS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $74.80 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 122.3): -1.5.

Masco Corporation designs, manufactures, and distributes branded home improvement products through two segments—Plumbing Products (faucets, showers, spas under DELTA, HANSGROHE, and HOT SPRING) and Decorative Architectural Products (paints and hardware under BEHR, KILZ, and... Read more

$74.800.0% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 19 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.93%
IncomeYield1.72%(5y avg 1.77%)Payout30.94%sustainable
Stop $70.86Target $74.79(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$80.67+7.8%18 analysts
$74.79our TP
$74.80price
$80.67mean
$67
$97

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $74.80 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 122.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Masco Corporation

About Masco Corporation

Masco Corporation's two segments—Plumbing Products and Decorative Architectural Products—together serve the residential repair-and-remodel and new home construction markets, with architectural coatings alone comprising approximately 31% of consolidated net sales in 2025. The company repurchased approximately 8.5 million shares during 2025 and raised its quarterly dividend by roughly 7% versus 2024, reflecting sustained cash generation. Net sales to The Home Depot were $2.9 billion, or approximately 38% of consolidated net sales, and 21% of total sales came from outside North America, primarily in Europe.

Masco distributes products through home center retailers, online retailers, wholesale channels, and independent specialty retailers. The Decorative Architectural Products segment's BEHR brand carries an exclusivity arrangement with The Home Depot covering the retail paint channel across North America, and the Kilz brand in the home improvement big-box and online mass-market channels in the United States and retail channel in Canada—making that single customer both the revenue anchor and a structural constraint on alternative distribution. Competitors in architectural coatings include Sherwin-Williams, RPM International's Rust-Oleum, and Benjamin Moore; plumbing competitors include Fortune Brands Innovations' Moen, Kohler, and Lixil's American Standard and Grohe brands. Raw material costs—principally brass, copper, zinc, acrylic resins, and titanium dioxide—are subject to price volatility, and the company has experienced higher costs from duties and tariffs on Chinese-sourced components, mainly in the Plumbing Products segment.

Show full overview

The Home Depot exclusivity arrangement is Masco's most concentrated external dependency: the BEHR brand cannot be sold through competing retail channels in North America, meaning a deterioration in that relationship could simultaneously eliminate revenue and foreclose alternative retail distribution for the company's largest paint brand. The 10-K states the loss of Home Depot segment sales would have a material adverse effect on that segment and on the consolidated business as a whole. In April 2026, Masco disclosed via Form 8-K the departure of Jai Shah, Group President, Plumbing and Wellness, effective July 3, 2026, with no successor announced.

See also: Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

From Masco Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 122.3): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.4
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$15.0B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn10.9%
ROE8457.1%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta1.31
Dividend1.72%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.17bullish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$80+7.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerThe Home Depot38%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our net sales to The Home Depot were $2.9 billion (approximately 38 percent of our consolidated net sales)'
  • LOWGeographicoutside North America21%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, 21 percent of our sales were made outside of North America (particularly in Europe)'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jai Shah, Masco's Group President, Plumbing and Wellness, will conclude service July 3, 2026. Agreement dated April 16, 2026 provides $1,206,000 cash payment plus prorated bonus, RSU awards, and LTIP payout if goals met. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Masco's 2022 Credit Agreement (U.S. $1 billion revolving credit facility, JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A. as agent) was terminated March 20, 2026 and replaced with a new Credit Agreement of identical aggregate size; routine refinancing, no default cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-26Item 1.01LOW
    Masco entered a new Credit Agreement dated March 20, 2026 providing U.S. $1 billion unsecured revolving credit commitments from a lender syndicate, with JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A. and J.P. Morgan SE as administrative agents; refinances the prior 2022 facility.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.7
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
9.1
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $62.95Resistance $76.32

Price Targets

$71
$75
A.Upside-0.0%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $74.80 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 122.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 69, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $70.86. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $74.79 (0.0% upside). Prior stop was $70.86. Stop-loss: $70.86.

What are the risks of investing in MAS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 122.3): -1.5.

Is MAS overvalued or undervalued?

Masco Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.4 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MAS?

26 analysts cover MAS with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $81.

What does Masco Corporation do?Masco Corporation designs, manufactures, and distributes branded home improvement products through two...

Masco Corporation designs, manufactures, and distributes branded home improvement products through two segments—Plumbing Products (faucets, showers, spas under DELTA, HANSGROHE, and HOT SPRING) and Decorative Architectural Products (paints and hardware under BEHR, KILZ, and LIBERTY)—primarily in North America and Europe. Net sales to The Home Depot were $2.9 billion in 2025, roughly 38% of consolidated net sales; the company employed approximately 18,000 people at year-end.

Related stocks: AWI (Armstrong World Industries Inc) · JCI (Johnson Controls International ) · WMS (Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.) · AAON (AAON, Inc.) · SPXC (SPX Technologies, Inc.)
Home Stocks MAS

Latest news

Latest News

The Globe and Mail57d agoAnalyst
MSN57d ago
StockStory57d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance64d ago
MSN64d agoAnalyst
Business Wire41d ago
Simplywall.st66d ago
Simplywall.st44d ago
AD HOC NEWS39d ago
TradingView58d agoEarnings
MarketBeat65d ago
GuruFocus60d ago
Moomoo40d ago
Newser.com40d ago
Benzinga35d ago
Benzinga41d ago
Benzinga54d agoEarnings
Benzinga54d agoAnalyst
Benzinga54d agoAnalyst
Benzinga55d agoAnalyst
Loading more...