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Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. At $325.67, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative building envelope products and solutions for more energy-efficient buildings. Through our building products businesses, Carlisle Construction Materials and... Read more

$325.67+9.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#12 of 18 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.48%
IncomeYield1.35%(5y avg 1.03%)Payout25.10%sustainable
Stop $311.85Target $356.82(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$410.14+25.9%7 analysts
$356.82our TP
$325.67price
$410.14mean
$450

Sell if holding. At $325.67, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Carlisle Companies Incorporated

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 30, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 28, 2026, Scott C.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.0 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.6%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.0
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$13.2B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE38.2%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta0.88
Dividend1.35%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV40%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 28, 2026, Scott C.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
1.4
Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume
5.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $321.49Resistance $391.96

Price Targets

$312
$357
A.Upside+9.6%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $325.67, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $311.85. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the CSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $356.82 (+9.6% upside). Prior stop was $311.85. Stop-loss: $311.85.

What are the risks of investing in CSL?

Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Is CSL overvalued or undervalued?

Carlisle Companies Incorporated trades at a P/E of 19.0 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSL?

16 analysts cover CSL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $410.

What does Carlisle Companies Incorporated do?Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative...

Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative building envelope products and solutions for more energy-efficient buildings. Through our building products businesses, Carlisle Construction Materials and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies, and family of leading brands, Carlisle delivers innovative, labor reducing and environmentally responsible products and solutions to customers through the Carlisle Experience.

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