Skip to main content
CSLCarlisle Companies IncorporatedSell5.7·$326.49
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Carlisle Companies shows strong price momentum with a golden cross and volume accumulation, and posts a return on equity of 38% that ranks superior to peers — but the stock has essentially reached analyst targets with only 0.9% headroom to the take-profit level and a risk/reward of 0.14-to-1; declining revenue of negative 4% and a dividend payout ratio above 100% of earnings create pressure on the financial profile if growth does not recover.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Momentum Breakout↓Deteriorating
  • Superior Return On Equity→Stable
  • Target Exhausted Thin Upside→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. At $326.49, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative building envelope products and solutions for more energy-efficient buildings. Through our building products businesses, Carlisle Construction Materials and... Read more

$326.49+6.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#10 of 25 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.17%
IncomeYield1.52%(5y avg 1.01%)Payout25.01%sustainable
Stop $306.87Target $348.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$400.88+22.8%8 analysts
$348.76our TP
$326.49price
$400.88mean
$464

Sell if holding. At $326.49, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15

Recent Developments — Carlisle Companies Incorporated

Generated 2026-10-15T11:37:20Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.8%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.7
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$13.0B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn14.2%
ROE39.2%
Rev Growth8.3%
Beta0.83
Dividend1.52%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV64%elevated
Max Pain$280-14.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-09-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CARLISLE COMPANIES INCORPORATED | | | Date: | September 10, 2026 | By: | /s/ Kevin P. Zdimal | | | Kevin P. Zdimal | | | Vice President and [... truncated]
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $310.39Resistance $336.00

Price Targets

$307
$349
A.Upside+6.8%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $326.49, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $306.87. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $348.76 (+6.8% upside). Prior stop was $306.87. Stop-loss: $306.87.

What are the risks of investing in CSL?

Thin upside margin: 6.8%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is CSL overvalued or undervalued?

Carlisle Companies Incorporated trades at a P/E of 18.7 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSL?

17 analysts cover CSL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $401.

What does Carlisle Companies Incorporated do?Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative...

Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative building envelope products and solutions for more energy-efficient buildings. Through our building products businesses, Carlisle Construction Materials and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies, and family of leading brands, Carlisle delivers innovative, labor reducing and environmentally responsible products and solutions to customers through the Carlisle Experience.

Related stocks: MAIR (Madison Air Solutions Corporati) · WMS (Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.) · SPXC (SPX Technologies, Inc.) · GFF (Griffon Corporation) · AAON (AAON, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › CSL

Latest news

Latest News

StockStory78d agoEarnings
TradingView78d agoEarnings
FinancialContent78d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com78d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative78d agoEarnings
Simplywall.st85d ago
The Globe and Mail85d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat85d agoEarnings
Thebull.com.au176d ago
Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La176d ago
StockStory176d agoEarnings
TradingView176d agoEarnings
MarketBeat183d ago
MarketBeat79d ago
StockStory79d agoEarnings
MarketBeat86d ago
Yahoo! Finance Canada177d ago
The Globe and Mail177d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus177d agoAnalyst
Simplywall.st184d ago
Loading more...