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Johnson Controls International (JCI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $145.51 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.6% away).

Johnson Controls provides commercial HVAC equipment, fire/security systems, building controls, and digital solutions through three segments: Americas, EMEA, and APAC. Following the July 2025 divestiture of its Residential & Light Commercial HVAC business to Robert Bosch GmbH, it... Read more

$145.51-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#7 of 18 Building Products & Equipment
Stop $138.84Target $143.19(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$144.86-0.4%21 analysts
$143.19our TP
$145.51price
$144.86mean
$109
$173

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $145.51 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.6% away)
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)47.4
P/E (Fwd)25.4
Mkt Cap$86.5B
EV/EBITDA23.1
Profit Mgn14.2%
ROE12.6%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta1.40
Dividend1.13%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.3
Quality Rank
5.4
Growth Rank
6.7

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.6
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
4.0
Forward Pe
4.9
Ps
7.9
Forward P/E: 25.4xPEG: 2.57
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $130.78Resistance $146.11

Price Targets

$139
$143
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JCI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $145.51 — A.R:R is negative (-1.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.6% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $138.84. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JCI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $143.19 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $138.84. Stop-loss: $138.84.

What are the risks of investing in JCI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.6% away); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is JCI overvalued or undervalued?

Johnson Controls International trades at a P/E of 47.4 (forward 25.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JCI?

26 analysts cover JCI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $145.

What does Johnson Controls International do?Johnson Controls provides commercial HVAC equipment, fire/security systems, building controls, and digital solutions...

Johnson Controls provides commercial HVAC equipment, fire/security systems, building controls, and digital solutions through three segments: Americas, EMEA, and APAC. Following the July 2025 divestiture of its Residential & Light Commercial HVAC business to Robert Bosch GmbH, it focuses exclusively on commercial building technology. Revenue is from product sales, installations, and service agreements.

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