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JBTMJBT Marel CorporationHold6.0·$138.52+1.01%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging 14% upside surprise, exceptional free cash flow conversion at 224% of net income, and an attractive forward price-to-earnings multiple of 13.6 times create a compelling fundamental profile, but a death cross and price below all moving averages represent a hard technical block—the fundamental case cannot be accessed until the price trend stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ExecutionStable
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • Death Cross Technical Hard BlockStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 7 days (2026-08-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $138.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food and beverage industry. We design, produce, and service sophisticated products and systems for multi-national and regional customers. Our purpose is to transform... Read more

$138.52+12.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#14 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.26%
IncomeYield0.30%(5y avg 0.35%)Payout12.31%sustainable
Stop $129.42Target $155.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$178.75+29.0%6 analysts
$155.51our TP
$138.52price
$178.75mean
$118
$210

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $138.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA (14d, -1.3%)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.2
P/E (Fwd)14.7
Mkt Cap$7.1B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE3.9%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta0.94
Dividend0.30%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $131.23Resistance $149.54

Price Targets

$129
$156
A.Upside+12.5%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBTM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $138.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $155.51 (+12.3%), stop $129.42 (−7.0%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBTM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $155.51 (+12.5% upside). Target $155.51 (+12.3%), stop $129.42 (−7.0%), A.R:R 2.0:1. Stop-loss: $129.42.

What are the risks of investing in JBTM?

Earnings in 7 days (event risk); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA (14d, -1.3%).

Is JBTM overvalued or undervalued?

JBT Marel Corporation trades at a P/E of 42.2 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about JBTM?

13 analysts cover JBTM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $179.

What does JBT Marel Corporation do?We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food...

We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food and beverage industry. We design, produce, and service sophisticated products and systems for multi-national and regional customers. Our purpose is to transform the future of food by providing solutions that substantially enhance our customers' success, and in doing so design, produce and service sophisticated and critical products and systems for food and beverage companies th...

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