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JBTMJBT Marel CorporationHold5.6·$137.36-1.39%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging 14% upside surprise, exceptional free cash flow conversion at 224% of net income, and an attractive forward price-to-earnings multiple of 13.6 times create a compelling fundamental profile, but a death cross and price below all moving averages represent a hard technical block—the fundamental case cannot be accessed until the price trend stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ExecutionStable
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • Death Cross Technical Hard BlockStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $137.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food and beverage industry. We design, produce, and service sophisticated products and systems for multi-national and regional customers. Our purpose is to transform... Read more

$137.36+13.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#11 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.18%
IncomeYield0.29%(5y avg 0.35%)Payout12.31%sustainable
Stop $127.47Target $155.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$178.75+30.1%6 analysts
$155.51our TP
$137.36price
$178.75mean
$118
$210

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $137.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.9
P/E (Fwd)14.9
Mkt Cap$7.3B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE3.9%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta0.95
Dividend0.29%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C34.92bearish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$210+52.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.5
Growth Rank
4.9
Value Rank
5.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.2
Support Resistance
1.4
Gap
6.0
52w Position
6.1
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $118.50Resistance $140.18

Price Targets

$127
$156
A.Upside+13.2%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBTM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $137.36, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $155.51 (+13.2%), stop $127.47 (−7.8%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBTM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $155.51 (+13.5% upside). Target $155.51 (+13.2%), stop $127.47 (−7.8%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $127.47.

What are the risks of investing in JBTM?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is JBTM overvalued or undervalued?

JBT Marel Corporation trades at a P/E of 42.9 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about JBTM?

13 analysts cover JBTM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $179.

What does JBT Marel Corporation do?We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food...

We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food and beverage industry. We design, produce, and service sophisticated products and systems for multi-national and regional customers. Our purpose is to transform the future of food by providing solutions that substantially enhance our customers' success, and in doing so design, produce and service sophisticated and critical products and systems for food and beverage companies th...

Related stocks: CXT (Crane NXT, Co.) · AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · MIDD (The Middleby Corporation) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I)
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