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JBTMJBT Marel CorporationHold6.0·$122.01-7.90%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A four-quarter earnings beat streak averaging 14% upside surprise, exceptional free cash flow conversion at 224% of net income, and an attractive forward price-to-earnings multiple of 13.6 times create a compelling fundamental profile, but a death cross and price below all moving averages represent a hard technical block—the fundamental case cannot be accessed until the price trend stabilizes.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ExecutionDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • Death Cross Technical Hard BlockStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $122.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food and beverage industry. We design, produce, and service sophisticated products and systems for multi-national and regional customers. Our purpose is to transform... Read more

$122.01+27.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#23 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.45%
IncomeYield0.29%(5y avg 0.35%)Payout12.31%sustainable
Stop $117.01Target $155.51(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$178.75+46.5%6 analysts
$155.51our TP
$122.01price
$178.75mean
$210

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $122.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 202689d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.9
P/E (Fwd)14.3
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA14.5
Profit Mgn4.3%
ROE3.9%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta0.94
Dividend0.29%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Vol Acceleration
2.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flatVolume surge (3.0x avg) on selloff
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $120.63Resistance $146.41

Price Targets

$117
$156
A.Upside+27.5%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBTM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $122.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 34, MACD bearish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $155.51 (+27.5%), stop $117.01 (−4.3%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBTM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $155.51 (+27.5% upside). Target $155.51 (+27.5%), stop $117.01 (−4.3%), A.R:R 2.8:1. Stop-loss: $117.01.

What are the risks of investing in JBTM?

Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is JBTM overvalued or undervalued?

JBT Marel Corporation trades at a P/E of 43.9 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about JBTM?

13 analysts cover JBTM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $179.

What does JBT Marel Corporation do?We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food...

We are a leading and diversified global technology solutions and service provider to high-value segments of the food and beverage industry. We design, produce, and service sophisticated products and systems for multi-national and regional customers. Our purpose is to transform the future of food by providing solutions that substantially enhance our customers' success, and in doing so design, produce and service sophisticated and critical products and systems for food and beverage companies th...

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · WTS (Watts Water Technologies, Inc.) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · CXT (Crane NXT, Co.)
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