J.B. Hunt has delivered three consecutive earnings beats and converts free cash flow at 133% of net income, but the stock trades at a forward P/E of 30.8x with a PEG of 2.76 — a premium the current growth profile may not justify — and with only 1.6% to nearest resistance against 6.4% potential downside, the 0.25-to-1 risk/reward does not compensate for holding risk at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Rich Valuation Relative To Growth→Stable
- Earnings Beat Streak Execution Floor→Stable
- Momentum Deterioration And Distribution→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I (JBHT) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $276.00 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Expensive valuation.
J.B. Hunt Transport Services operates five North American freight segments: Intermodal ($5.98 billion 2025 revenue), Dedicated Contract Services ($3.38 billion), Integrated Capacity Solutions ($1.11 billion), Final Mile Services ($824 million), and Truckload ($734 million). The... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $276.00 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I
About J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I
J.B. Hunt Transport Services generated fiscal 2025 revenue of $5.98 billion in the JBI intermodal segment, $3.38 billion in Dedicated Contract Services, $1.11 billion in brokerage and logistics through ICS, $824 million in Final Mile Services, and $734 million in Truckload. The JBI fleet comprised 124,838 owned containers and 104,474 chassis at December 31, 2025, with a combined company tractor and truck fleet of 18,843 units averaging 2.7 years old. JBHT employed 31,750 people with no union coverage, serving Fortune 500 customers throughout North America.
JBI, the largest segment, uses BNSF and Norfolk Southern for linehaul movement while JBHT performs the majority of drayage via company-owned tractors, creating an integrated rail-truck intermodal service. DCS focuses on dedicated private fleet conversion under long-term cost-plus contracts spanning three to ten years, where fixed costs are recovered regardless of equipment utilization. ICS provides freight brokerage through J.B. Hunt 360 with approximately 126,000 available third-party carriers, offering flatbed, refrigerated, expedited, and dry-van solutions. FMS delivers big-and-bulky last-mile goods through a cross-dock network under one-to-five-year contracts. The top 10 customers by revenue accounted for approximately 33% of fiscal 2025 revenue; JBI, ICS, and JBT segments typically have no long-term contracts, while DCS and FMS contracts may contain cancellation clauses. JBHT held no derivative financial instruments to hedge fuel-price exposure at December 31, 2025.
Show full overview
JBHT's JBI segment — its largest at $5.98 billion in 2025 revenue — depends on BNSF and Norfolk Southern for linehaul movement under contractual arrangements the 10-K describes as subject to labor disruptions, shortages, and rail network inefficiencies. A material service deterioration at either railroad could impair JBI economics, as the company relies entirely on rail for the long-haul leg while performing the majority of drayage via owned tractors. The absence of fuel hedges leaves diesel price volatility as a direct operating cost exposure, with surcharge programs recovering the majority of fuel cost changes but subject to timing lags.
See also: Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
From J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-07Recent Developments — J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I
Latest news
- NEWS J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. stock outperforms competitors despite losses on the day - MarketWatch — MarketWatch positive
- NEWS J.B. Hunt Transport gains after company initiatives help boost margins in FQ1 (JBHT:NASDAQ) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- NEWS J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. Reports U.S. GAAP Revenues, Net Earnings and Earnings Per Share for the First Quarter — J. B. Hunt positive
- NEWS Why JB Hunt (JBHT) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) Is Up 5.5% After Stronger Intermodal Volumes Lift UBS Earnings Forecasts – Has The B — simplywall.st positive
Generated 2026-07-07T11:31:43Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers33%10-K Item 1A: 'our top 10 customers, based on revenue, accounted for approximately 33% of our revenue'
- MEDIUMcounterpartyBNSF and Norfolk Southern10-K Item 1A: 'the majority of our business travels on the BNSF and the Norfolk Southern railways'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $276.00 — A.R:R is negative (-2.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Expensive valuation. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $259.30. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $289.08 (+4.1% upside). Prior stop was $259.30. Stop-loss: $259.30.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I trades at a P/E of 44.5 (forward 31.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
30 analysts cover JBHT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $258.
What does J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I do?J.B. Hunt Transport Services operates five North American freight segments: Intermodal ($5.98 billion 2025 revenue),...
J.B. Hunt Transport Services operates five North American freight segments: Intermodal ($5.98 billion 2025 revenue), Dedicated Contract Services ($3.38 billion), Integrated Capacity Solutions ($1.11 billion), Final Mile Services ($824 million), and Truckload ($734 million). The company earns fees from transportation, brokerage, and dedicated logistics services, employing 31,750 people with no union representation.