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C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $164.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

C.H. Robinson is one of the world's largest global logistics brokers with $16.2B in consolidated total revenues in 2025, operating NAST (North American surface transport), Global Forwarding (ocean/air), and sourcing segments, serving 75,000 customers via 450,000+ contract... Read more

$164.72+4.2% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#8 of 10 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.21%
IncomeYield1.49%(5y avg 2.29%)Payout50.61%sustainable
Stop $157.84Target $176.92(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$196.58+19.3%24 analysts
$176.92our TP
$164.72price
$196.58mean
$90
$230

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $164.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.2%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.4
P/E (Fwd)23.1
Mkt Cap$20.0B
EV/EBITDA24.2
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE34.8%
Rev Growth-0.8%
Beta0.94
Dividend1.49%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV57%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.3
Earnings Growth
4.0
Declining revenue: -1%

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Uptrend pullback (RSI 34) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $150.40Resistance $190.15

Price Targets

$158
$177
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHRW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $164.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 4.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $176.92 (+7.4%), stop $157.84 (−4.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the CHRW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $176.92 (+4.2% upside). Target $176.92 (+7.4%), stop $157.84 (−4.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $157.84.

What are the risks of investing in CHRW?

Thin upside margin: 4.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CHRW overvalued or undervalued?

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.4 (forward 23.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CHRW?

32 analysts cover CHRW with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $197.

What does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. do?C.H. Robinson is one of the world's largest global logistics brokers with $16.2B in consolidated total revenues in...

C.H. Robinson is one of the world's largest global logistics brokers with $16.2B in consolidated total revenues in 2025, operating NAST (North American surface transport), Global Forwarding (ocean/air), and sourcing segments, serving 75,000 customers via 450,000+ contract carriers. Earns spread between customer freight charges and carrier payments; manages ~37 million shipments annually.

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