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C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $182.88 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.5/10.

C.H. Robinson is a global logistics provider with $16.2 billion in 2025 revenues, operating through North American Surface Transportation, Global Forwarding, and Robinson Fresh segments. It connects 75,000 customers with 450,000 contract carriers without owning transportation... Read more

$182.88+1.5% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#9 of 10 Integrated Freight & Logistics
Stop $172.42Target $186.35(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$190.32+4.1%25 analysts
$186.35our TP
$182.88price
$190.32mean
$90
$224

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $182.88 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.5/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.5/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.7
P/E (Fwd)25.9
Mkt Cap$22.1B
EV/EBITDA26.7
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE32.9%
Rev Growth-6.5%
Beta0.94
Dividend1.35%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop 100 customers40%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top 100 customers based on total revenue comprised approximately 40 percent of our consolidated total revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -6.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.3
Revenue Growth
0.9
Declining revenue: -6%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.0
Value Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
4.8
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $159.96Resistance $190.15

Price Targets

$172
$186
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CHRW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $182.88 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.5/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $172.42. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CHRW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $186.35 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $172.42. Stop-loss: $172.42.

What are the risks of investing in CHRW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.5/10; Weak growth.

Is CHRW overvalued or undervalued?

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.7 (forward 25.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CHRW?

32 analysts cover CHRW with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $190.

What does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. do?C.H. Robinson is a global logistics provider with $16.2 billion in 2025 revenues, operating through North American...

C.H. Robinson is a global logistics provider with $16.2 billion in 2025 revenues, operating through North American Surface Transportation, Global Forwarding, and Robinson Fresh segments. It connects 75,000 customers with 450,000 contract carriers without owning transportation assets, earning margin on freight brokerage and managed logistics.

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