C.H. Robinson brings four straight earnings beats with rising analyst estimates, but the stock trades just 0.4% below its near-term price target, producing an unfavorable risk/reward, while declining revenues and an elevated put-to-call ratio of 2.0 suggest the setup favors patience rather than new exposure at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Beat With Rising Estimates→Stable
- Target Reached Unfavorable Asymmetry→Stable
- Declining Revenue No Moat→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $147.64: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding — generating $16.2 billion in consolidated revenues in 2025. Revenue is earned as the margin between... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $147.64: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW) Delivers Impressive Q2 CY2026 - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW) Delivers Impressive Q2 CY2026 - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS 5 Red Days In A Row: C.H. Robinson Worldwide Stock Is Down 19% - Trefis — Trefis negative
- NEWS 5 Red Days In A Row: C.H. Robinson Worldwide Stock Is Down 19% - trefis.com — trefis.com negative
- NEWS C.H. Robinson to Report Q2 Earnings: What's in the Cards? - TradingView — TradingView neutral
Generated 2026-09-05T14:21:56Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop 100 customers40%10-K Item 1A: 'our top 100 customers based on total revenue comprised approximately 40 percent of our consolidated total revenues'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-02Item 5.02LOWOn May 29, 2026, the Talent & Compensation Committee approved a special equity award for Chief Strategy and Innovation Officer Arun Rajan: performance stock units valued at $6 million (target) and restricted stock units valued at $1.5 million. Routine retention/performance award; no departure cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $147.64: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $140.20. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $179.86 (+21.8% upside). Prior stop was $140.20. Stop-loss: $140.20.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.1); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.7 (forward 19.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
32 analysts cover CHRW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $200.
What does C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. do?C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North...
C.H. Robinson Worldwide brokers freight transportation across North America and globally through two segments — North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding — generating $16.2 billion in consolidated revenues in 2025. Revenue is earned as the margin between shipper charges and carrier costs, serving 75,000 customers through a network of 450,000 contract carriers managing 37 million annual shipments.