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JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, ISell5.2·$288.17+1.13%
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J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I (JBHT) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $288.17 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: BNSF and Norfolk Southern railways.

J.B. Hunt is one of the largest surface transportation companies in North America, operating five segments: Intermodal (JBI, $5.98B), Dedicated Contract (DCS, $3.38B), Integrated Capacity Solutions (ICS, $1.11B), Final Mile (FMS, $824M), and Truckload (JBT, $734M). Revenue is... Read more

$288.17-1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#6 of 10 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.05%
IncomeYield0.62%(5y avg 0.90%)Payout27.48%sustainable
Stop $273.37Target $284.15(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$246.14-14.6%22 analysts
$284.15our TP
$288.17price
$246.14mean
$171
$330

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $288.17 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: BNSF and Norfolk Southern railways. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 14, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: BNSF and Norfolk Southern railways
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.8
P/E (Fwd)31.4
Mkt Cap$27.2B
EV/EBITDA17.9
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE16.7%
Rev Growth4.6%
Beta1.30
Dividend0.62%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.35bearish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$125-56.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers33%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top 10 customers, based on revenue, accounted for approximately 33% of our revenue'
  • HIGHSupplierBNSF and Norfolk Southern railways
    10-K Item 1A: 'the majority of our business travels on the BNSF and the Norfolk Southern railways'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.3
Pe
2.8
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
3.7
Peg Ratio
3.8
Ps
8.8
Forward P/E: 31.4xPEG: 2.78

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.3
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35EARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $231.47Resistance $289.95

Price Targets

$273
$284
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-14 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBHT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $288.17 — A.R:R is negative (-1.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: BNSF and Norfolk Southern railways. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $273.37. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the JBHT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $284.15 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $273.37. Stop-loss: $273.37.

What are the risks of investing in JBHT?

Concentration risk — Supplier: BNSF and Norfolk Southern railways; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.6% away).

Is JBHT overvalued or undervalued?

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I trades at a P/E of 44.8 (forward 31.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBHT?

30 analysts cover JBHT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $246.

What does J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I do?J.B. Hunt is one of the largest surface transportation companies in North America, operating five segments: Intermodal...

J.B. Hunt is one of the largest surface transportation companies in North America, operating five segments: Intermodal (JBI, $5.98B), Dedicated Contract (DCS, $3.38B), Integrated Capacity Solutions (ICS, $1.11B), Final Mile (FMS, $824M), and Truckload (JBT, $734M). Revenue is earned from transportation, brokerage, and logistics services to a diverse Fortune 500 customer base across the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. The company employs 31,750 people and operates 190,000+ pieces of transportation equipment.

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