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J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I (JBHT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $261.46 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: BNSF and Norfolk Southern railways.

J.B. Hunt is one of the largest surface transportation companies in North America, operating five segments: Intermodal (JBI, $5.98B), Dedicated Contract (DCS, $3.38B), Integrated Capacity Solutions (ICS, $1.11B), Final Mile (FMS, $824M), and Truckload (JBT, $734M). Revenue is... Read more

$261.46-1.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#4 of 10 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.36%
IncomeYield0.69%(5y avg 0.90%)Payout27.48%sustainable
Stop $244.06Target $258.94(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$234.68-10.2%22 analysts
$258.94our TP
$261.46price
$234.68mean
$171
$290

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $261.46 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: BNSF and Norfolk Southern railways. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: BNSF and Norfolk Southern railways
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.7
P/E (Fwd)28.9
Mkt Cap$24.7B
EV/EBITDA16.3
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE16.7%
Rev Growth4.6%
Beta1.29
Dividend0.69%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop 10 customers33%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top 10 customers, based on revenue, accounted for approximately 33% of our revenue'
  • HIGHSupplierBNSF and Norfolk Southern railways
    10-K Item 1A: 'the majority of our business travels on the BNSF and the Norfolk Southern railways'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.8
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $231.47Resistance $264.22

Price Targets

$244
$259
A.Upside-1.0%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-14 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBHT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $261.46 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: BNSF and Norfolk Southern railways. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $244.06. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBHT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $258.94 (-1.0% upside). Prior stop was $244.06. Stop-loss: $244.06.

What are the risks of investing in JBHT?

Concentration risk — Supplier: BNSF and Norfolk Southern railways; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away).

Is JBHT overvalued or undervalued?

J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I trades at a P/E of 40.7 (forward 28.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBHT?

31 analysts cover JBHT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $235.

What does J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I do?J.B. Hunt is one of the largest surface transportation companies in North America, operating five segments: Intermodal...

J.B. Hunt is one of the largest surface transportation companies in North America, operating five segments: Intermodal (JBI, $5.98B), Dedicated Contract (DCS, $3.38B), Integrated Capacity Solutions (ICS, $1.11B), Final Mile (FMS, $824M), and Truckload (JBT, $734M). Revenue is earned from transportation, brokerage, and logistics services to a diverse Fortune 500 customer base across the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. The company employs 31,750 people and operates 190,000+ pieces of transportation equipment.

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