Expeditors International of Was (EXPD) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $147.82 — A.R:R is negative (-3.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk).
Expeditors International is a third-party logistics provider offering airfreight, ocean freight, customs brokerage, and warehousing globally through ~20,000 employees. It purchases cargo space from carriers and resells to customers but does not own aircraft or ships.
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $147.82 — A.R:R is negative (-3.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWGeographicChina and Hong Kong19%10-K Item 1A: 'we generated 19% and 22% of our revenues and 15% and 17% of our operating income in 2025 and 2024, respectively, on exports from China and Hong Kong'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOWRoberto A. Martinez appointed President, Global Products at Expeditors effective June 1, 2025, via employment agreement. Annual base salary 100,000 plus incentive compensation. No reason cited for prior vacancy.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Revenue shrinking — -3.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $147.82 — A.R:R is negative (-3.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $142.06. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $148.88 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $142.06. Stop-loss: $142.06.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Weak overall score: 4.8/10.
Expeditors International of Was trades at a P/E of 25.0 (forward 23.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover EXPD with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $140.
What does Expeditors International of Was do?Expeditors International is a third-party logistics provider offering airfreight, ocean freight, customs brokerage, and...
Expeditors International is a third-party logistics provider offering airfreight, ocean freight, customs brokerage, and warehousing globally through ~20,000 employees. It purchases cargo space from carriers and resells to customers but does not own aircraft or ships.