Skip to main content
EXPDExpeditors International of WasSell5.3·$163.44+1.87%
Open full analysis

Expeditors International of Was (EXPD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $163.44 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away).

Expeditors International is a non-asset-based global logistics provider offering airfreight consolidation, ocean freight, customs brokerage, and warehousing through 172 district offices worldwide with ~20,000 employees. Revenue earned from margins on cargo space resold and... Read more

$163.44-1.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#4 of 10 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.73%
IncomeYield1.01%(5y avg 1.14%)Payout24.88%sustainable
Stop $156.86Target $160.82(resistance)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst target$146.38-10.4%13 analysts
$160.82our TP
$163.44price
$146.38mean
$95
$181

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $163.44 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.2% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.9
P/E (Fwd)23.5
Mkt Cap$21.0B
EV/EBITDA17.8
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE36.6%
Rev Growth4.4%
Beta1.05
Dividend1.01%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.92bearish
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicChina and Hong Kong19%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we generated 19% and 22% of our revenues and 15% and 17% of our operating income in 2025 and 2024, respectively, on exports from China and Hong Kong.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOW
    Roberto A. Martinez entered into an Employment Agreement as President, Global Products of Expeditors, effective June 1, 2025. Annual base salary $100,000 with performance bonus. Six-month non-compete and 12-month non-solicitation provisions.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.4
52w Position
9.7
GatesA.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 8.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $148.38Resistance $164.10

Price Targets

$157
$161
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EXPD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $163.44 — A.R:R is negative (-2.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $156.86. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EXPD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $160.82 (-1.6% upside). Prior stop was $156.86. Stop-loss: $156.86.

What are the risks of investing in EXPD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is EXPD overvalued or undervalued?

Expeditors International of Was trades at a P/E of 25.9 (forward 23.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EXPD?

21 analysts cover EXPD with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $146.

What does Expeditors International of Was do?Expeditors International is a non-asset-based global logistics provider offering airfreight consolidation, ocean...

Expeditors International is a non-asset-based global logistics provider offering airfreight consolidation, ocean freight, customs brokerage, and warehousing through 172 district offices worldwide with ~20,000 employees. Revenue earned from margins on cargo space resold and service fees; no single customer exceeds 5% of revenues. China and Hong Kong exports generated 19% of 2025 revenues.

Related stocks: ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.) · PBI (Pitney Bowes Inc.) · FDX (FedEx Corporation) · GXO (GXO Logistics, Inc.) · JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I)
Home Stocks EXPD

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance41d agoEarnings
Moomoo41d ago
MSN42d ago
Yahoo Finance42d ago
MarketBeat42d ago
Marketscreener.com42d agoAnalyst
MSN40d ago
AD HOC NEWS41d agoEarnings
富途牛牛41d agoEarnings
TradingView36d ago
AlphaStreet36d ago
MarketBeat47d ago
Benzinga11d ago
Benzinga32d agoAnalyst
Benzinga34d agoAnalyst
Benzinga34d agoAnalyst
Benzinga35d ago