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LSTRLandstar System, Inc.Sell4.9·$225.37+3.35%
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Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $225.37 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.2% away).

Landstar System, Inc. was incorporated in January 1991 under the laws of the State of Delaware and has been a publicly held company since its initial public offering in March 1993. The principal executive offices of Landstar System, Inc. (collectively with its subsidiaries and... Read more

$225.37-0.7% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#7 of 10 Integrated Freight & Logistics
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.49%
IncomeYield0.73%(5y avg 0.76%)Payout44.20%sustainable
Stop $210.57Target $223.89(resistance)A.R:R -2.1:1
Analyst target$179.14-20.5%14 analysts
$223.89our TP
$225.37price
$179.14mean
$145
$240

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $225.37 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.2% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)60.2
P/E (Fwd)30.8
Mkt Cap$7.4B
EV/EBITDA29.5
Profit Mgn2.6%
ROE14.4%
Rev Growth1.6%
Beta0.88
Dividend0.73%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.64bearish
IV57%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On April 2, 2026, Landstar System, Inc. ("Landstar" or the "Company") announced that Michael K.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.0
Quality Rank
1.6
Growth Rank
4.0

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
0.9
52w Position
9.7

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
3.8
Peg Ratio
4.9
Ps
9.3
Forward P/E: 30.8xPEG: 1.60

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.8
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -2.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
94 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $161.75Resistance $228.46

Price Targets

$211
$224
A.Upside-0.7%
A.R:R-2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-30.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LSTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $225.37 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (-0.2% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $210.57. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the LSTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $223.89 (-0.7% upside). Prior stop was $210.57. Stop-loss: $210.57.

What are the risks of investing in LSTR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.2% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Is LSTR overvalued or undervalued?

Landstar System, Inc. trades at a P/E of 60.2 (forward 30.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LSTR?

23 analysts cover LSTR with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $179.

What does Landstar System, Inc. do?Landstar System, Inc. was incorporated in January 1991 under the laws of the State of Delaware and has been a publicly...

Landstar System, Inc. was incorporated in January 1991 under the laws of the State of Delaware and has been a publicly held company since its initial public offering in March 1993. The principal executive offices of Landstar System, Inc. (collectively with its subsidiaries and other affiliated companies referred to herein as "Landstar" or the "Company," unless the context otherwise requires) is located at 13410 Sutton Park Drive South, Jacksonville, Florida 32224 and its telephone number is (...

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