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HUNHuntsman CorporationSell4.7·$10.82+2.56%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Huntsman scores 1.5 out of 10 on business quality—far below the investable minimum—with no competitive moat, an inconsistent recent earnings record, an unsafe dividend yield, and 20% short interest justified by the fundamental picture; the stock is uninvestable on fundamental grounds despite a constructive near-term technical breakout.

Thesis pillars

  • Quality Far Below Floor No MoatStable
  • Unsafe Dividend Yield TrapStable
  • Inconsistent Earnings ExecutionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Huntsman Corporation (HUN) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.82: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Huntsman Corporation manufactures diversified organic chemicals across three segments — Polyurethanes, Performance Products, and Advanced Materials — sold globally to industrial, construction, automotive, and aerospace customers. Revenue was $5.68 billion in 2025, down from... Read more

$10.82+14.0% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#10 of 15 Chemicals
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield15.68%
IncomeYield4.74%(5y avg 4.55%)Payout180.00%at-risk
Stop $10.06Target $12.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$14.17+30.9%12 analysts
$12.33our TP
$10.82price
$14.17mean
$18

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.82: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Huntsman Corporation

About Huntsman Corporation

Huntsman Corporation generated $5.68 billion in revenue in 2025 across three segments: Polyurethanes (the dominant segment with MDI as its flagship product), Performance Products (amines and maleic anhydride), and Advanced Materials (epoxy and acrylic polymer formulations). The company operates world-scale MDI production at Geismar, Louisiana; Rotterdam, Netherlands; and Caojing, China, with combined MDI, polyols, and TPU capacity of approximately 2.9 billion, 0.6 billion, and 0.1 billion pounds, respectively. Revenue declined from $6.11 billion in 2023 to $5.68 billion in 2025, reflecting cyclical demand pressure across end markets.

Polyurethane chemicals sell both as component molecules (MDI and polyols) and as formulated systems through 14 downstream systems houses located near customer sites — a distribution model designed to support technical service and customer retention. Benzene historically represents the largest raw material cost component in MDI production, while natural gas-related raw material costs in Europe have been volatile in recent years. Performance Products generates revenue from amines (including polyetheramines, ethyleneamines, and specialty amines for semiconductor manufacturing) and maleic anhydride; Huntsman claims to be the second-largest global maleic anhydride producer outside China. Advanced Materials sells to aerospace customers including Boeing, automotive customers including BMW, and electronics customers including Siemens and Schneider. The company competes against BASF, Covestro, Dow, Lubrizol, and Wanhua Chemical Group in polyurethanes and against 3M, Henkel, and Westlake in advanced materials.

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Huntsman's Geismar, Louisiana complex — where MDI, polyol, maleic anhydride, aniline, and nitrobenzene all co-locate within the Rubicon LLC joint venture with Lanxess AG — represents a single-site concentration that the 10-K flags explicitly: any significant production disruption could impair revenues since alternative facilities with sufficient capacity may not be available or could take significant time to qualify with customers. The same 10-K notes that several raw materials have only a limited number of suppliers or a single supplier, and that if a supplier cannot meet obligations under supply agreements, the company may be forced to pay higher prices without being able to recoup the increase through finished-product pricing.

See also: Basic Materials · Chemicals

From Huntsman Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06

Recent Developments — Huntsman Corporation

Generated 2026-07-06T04:40:27Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier raw materials
Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)49.8
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA16.7
Profit Mgn-5.8%
ROE-8.9%
Rev Growth0.7%
Beta0.71
Dividend4.74%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.12bullish
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle supplier raw materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'There are, however, several raw materials for which there are only a limited number of suppliers or a single supplier'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 19, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.8
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
19 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $10.32Resistance $16.09

Price Targets

$10
$12
A.Upside+14.0%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HUN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $10.82: Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.06. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HUN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.33 (+14.0% upside). Prior stop was $10.06. Stop-loss: $10.06.

What are the risks of investing in HUN?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single supplier raw materials; Quality below floor (1.5 < 4.0).

Is HUN overvalued or undervalued?

Huntsman Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 49.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HUN?

23 analysts cover HUN with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Huntsman Corporation do?Huntsman Corporation manufactures diversified organic chemicals across three segments — Polyurethanes, Performance...

Huntsman Corporation manufactures diversified organic chemicals across three segments — Polyurethanes, Performance Products, and Advanced Materials — sold globally to industrial, construction, automotive, and aerospace customers. Revenue was $5.68 billion in 2025, down from $6.04 billion in 2024, with world-scale MDI production at Geismar, Louisiana; Rotterdam, Netherlands; and Caojing, China.

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