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LSB Industries, Inc. (LXU) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.08: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

LSB Industries, Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells chemical products in the United States. The company offers ammonia and urea ammonia nitrate for agricultural applications. It also provides high purity and commercial grade ammonia, high purity ammonium nitrate, sulfuric... Read more

$15.08+3.1% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 10 Chemicals
Stop $14.00Target $15.51(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$15.10+0.1%5 analysts
$15.51our TP
$15.08price
$15.10mean
$11
$18

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.08: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-12.7% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.7
P/E (Fwd)12.6
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA9.9
Profit Mgn4.0%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth22.3%
Beta0.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV85%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roe
1.6
Net Margin
2.0
Roa
2.2
Moat
5.0
Operating Margin
7.3
Piotroski F
7.8
Current Ratio
9.3
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -25% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.09Resistance $15.83

Price Targets

$14
$16
A.Upside+2.9%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-12.7% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LXU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.08: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $14.00. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LXU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.51 (+3.1% upside). Prior stop was $14.00. Stop-loss: $14.00.

What are the risks of investing in LXU?

Target reached (-12.7% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is LXU overvalued or undervalued?

LSB Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.7 (forward 12.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LXU?

8 analysts cover LXU with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $15.

What does LSB Industries, Inc. do?LSB Industries, Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells chemical products in the United States. The company offers...

LSB Industries, Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells chemical products in the United States. The company offers ammonia and urea ammonia nitrate for agricultural applications. It also provides high purity and commercial grade ammonia, high purity ammonium nitrate, sulfuric acids, concentrated, blended and regular nitric acid, mixed nitrating acids, carbon dioxide, industrial grade ammonium nitrate, and ammonium nitrate for industrial applications. It sells its products to farmers, ranchers, fertilizer dealers, and distributors primarily in the ranch land and grain production markets, as well as industrial users of acids and explosive manufacturers. LSB Industries, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

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