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REXREX American Resources CorporatHold5.9·$39.60
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

REX American Resources has beaten earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters with average positive surprises of 71%, trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 18.9x with a PEG of 0.16, and ranks as best-in-class versus peers on both ROE and margins — but negative price momentum, a quality score of 4.6 reflecting earnings quality concerns, and no identifiable technical catalyst make the near-term timing unfavorable.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Peg Discount→Stable
  • Strong Earnings Beat Streak Value↑Improving
  • Best In Class Peer Ranking↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 30, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

REX American Resources Corporat (REX) Stock Analysis

Sector Rotation edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

REX American Resources Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells ethanol in the United States. The company provides corn, distillers grains, ethanol, distillers corn oil, gasoline, and natural gas. It also offers dry distillers grains with soluble, which is... Read more

$39.60+13.3% Upside to targetScore 5.9/10#5 of 14 Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.65%
Stop $37.10Resistance target $44.88A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 24, 2026

Recent Developments — REX American Resources Corporat

Latest item Oct 24, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Dec 3, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 42%
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.8
P/E (Fwd)17.4
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn18.3%
ROE19.6%
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta0.60
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV43%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-01Item 5.02LOW
    New employment agreements for Executive Chairman Stuart Rose, CEO Zafar Rizvi, and CFO Douglas Bruggeman effective February 1, 2026, raising Rose's maximum annual bonus from $2,500,000 to $4,000,000. Compensation adjustment, not a departure; agreements supersede prior contracts.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-12Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee approved a form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement under the REX American Resources 2026 Incentive Plan for future RSU grants. Routine compensatory-plan document; no personnel change.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-03Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved the REX American Resources Corporation 2026 Incentive Plan at the May 28, 2026 Annual Meeting. Routine equity-plan approval; no executive departure or appointment.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-03Item 5.03LOW
    Shareholders adopted an amendment increasing authorized common stock from 45,000,000 to 90,000,000 shares, effective June 1, 2026; Board also restated the certificate of incorporation to integrate prior amendments.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-03Item 5.07LOW
    REX American Resources held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 28, 2026; shareholders voted on proposals including the 2026 Incentive Plan and the authorized-share increase. No contested or adverse results cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)INSIDER 0.16%=MODERATEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.5>=4.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $38.17Resistance $45.80

Price Targets

$37
$45
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts with ratings5
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target—

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-03 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REX stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.60, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Resistance target $44.88 (+13.3%), stop $37.10 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REX stock price target?

Resistance target: $44.88 (+13.3% upside). Resistance target $44.88 (+13.3%), stop $37.10 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $37.10.

What are the risks of investing in REX?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is REX overvalued or undervalued?

REX American Resources Corporat trades at a P/E of 10.8 (forward 17.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about REX?

5 analysts rate REX, with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

What does REX American Resources Corporat do?REX American Resources Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells ethanol in the United States....

REX American Resources Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells ethanol in the United States. The company provides corn, distillers grains, ethanol, distillers corn oil, gasoline, and natural gas. It also offers dry distillers grains with soluble, which is used as a protein in animal feed. REX American Resources Corporation was formerly known as REX Stores Corporation and changed its name to REX American Resources Corporation in June 2010. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Dayton, Ohio.

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