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REX American Resources Corporat (REX) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $48.90: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5; Near 52-week high (-0.2% away).

REX American Resources Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells ethanol in the United States. The company provides corn, distillers grains, ethanol, distillers corn oil, gasoline, and natural gas. It also offers dry distillers grains with soluble, which is... Read more

$48.90-2.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#2 of 10 Chemicals
Stop $46.23Target $47.93(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $48.90: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5; Near 52-week high (-0.2% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Near 52-week high (-0.2% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)21.3
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA17.1
Profit Mgn12.8%
ROE14.1%
Rev Growth-0.2%
Beta0.61
DividendNone
Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.44bearish
IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -0.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
79 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.38Resistance $48.91

Price Targets

$46
$48
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Analyst Consensus

Analysts5
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-27 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $48.90: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5; Near 52-week high (-0.2% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $46.23. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the REX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.93 (-2.0% upside). Prior stop was $46.23. Stop-loss: $46.23.

What are the risks of investing in REX?

Near 52-week high (-0.2% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is REX overvalued or undervalued?

REX American Resources Corporat trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about REX?

5 analysts cover REX with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

What does REX American Resources Corporat do?REX American Resources Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells ethanol in the United States....

REX American Resources Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells ethanol in the United States. The company provides corn, distillers grains, ethanol, distillers corn oil, gasoline, and natural gas. It also offers dry distillers grains with soluble, which is used as a protein in animal feed. REX American Resources Corporation was formerly known as REX Stores Corporation and changed its name to REX American Resources Corporation in June 2010. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Dayton, Ohio.

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