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Methanex Corporation (MEOH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.68 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5.

Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, and South America. It also owns and leases in-region storage and terminal facilities. The company serves chemical and petrochemical producers. Methanex... Read more

$62.68+0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#3 of 10 Chemicals
Stop $58.30Target $63.11(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$67.33+7.4%9 analysts
$63.11our TP
$62.68price
$67.33mean
$56
$75

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.68 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)68.1
P/E (Fwd)14.8
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA10.2
Profit Mgn2.2%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth2.1%
Beta0.82
Dividend1.17%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.87bearish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $50.07Resistance $64.40

Price Targets

$58
$63
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MEOH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.68 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $58.30. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MEOH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.11 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $58.30. Stop-loss: $58.30.

What are the risks of investing in MEOH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is MEOH overvalued or undervalued?

Methanex Corporation trades at a P/E of 68.1 (forward 14.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MEOH?

13 analysts cover MEOH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $67.

What does Methanex Corporation do?Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe,...

Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, and South America. It also owns and leases in-region storage and terminal facilities. The company serves chemical and petrochemical producers. Methanex Corporation was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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