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Methanex Corporation (MEOH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.72: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, and South America. It also owns and leases in-region storage and terminal facilities. The company serves chemical and petrochemical producers. Methanex... Read more

$62.72+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#4 of 10 Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield9.28%
IncomeYield1.19%(5y avg 1.43%)Payout79.57%
Stop $58.39Target $62.93(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$72.33+15.3%9 analysts
$62.93our TP
$62.72price
$72.33mean
$80

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.72: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Methanex Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (0.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.5
Mkt Cap$4.8B
EV/EBITDA11.8
Profit Mgn-1.2%
ROE0.6%
Rev Growth8.6%
Beta0.84
Dividend1.19%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.16bearish
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Net Margin
0.0
Roe
0.2
Gross Margin
0.8
Roa
2.2
Operating Margin
3.4
Moat
4.2
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
6.9
No competitive moat

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.1
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $58.89Resistance $66.20

Price Targets

$58
$63
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MEOH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.72: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $58.39. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MEOH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.93 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $58.39. Stop-loss: $58.39.

What are the risks of investing in MEOH?

Target reached (0.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is MEOH overvalued or undervalued?

Methanex Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MEOH?

13 analysts cover MEOH with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Methanex Corporation do?Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe,...

Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, and South America. It also owns and leases in-region storage and terminal facilities. The company serves chemical and petrochemical producers. Methanex Corporation was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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