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WLKPWestlake Chemical Partners LPBuy Wait6.3·$21.26
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Westlake Chemical Partners is a high-quality, cheaply valued chemicals partnership with an 8.9% dividend and exceptional cash conversion, but growth is weak, earnings are roughly in line and the price is only 4.5% below the analyst target, so the stance is to hold.

Thesis pillars

  • In Line Earnings Thin Upside↓Deteriorating
  • Distribution And Pullback Risk↑Improving
  • High Quality Cash Generator→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 4, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Westlake Chemical Partners LP (WLKP) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Sector Rotation edge

Buy WaitValueQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Earnings in 1 day (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $20.93. At $21.26 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $20.93 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

We are a Delaware limited partnership formed by Westlake in March 2014 to operate, acquire and develop ethylene production facilities and related assets. On August 4, 2014, we completed our initial public offering (the "IPO") of 12,937,500 common units representing limited... Read more

$21.26+4.0% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 14 Chemicals
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield36.68%
IncomeYield8.87%(5y avg 8.25%)Payout114.98%at-risk
Entry $20.93(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $20.27Target $22.10(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst consensus$26.00+22.3%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Wait for pullback to $20.93. At $21.26 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $20.93 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.0%
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.0
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$749M
EV/EBITDA2.8
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE41.8%
Rev Growth0.0%
Beta0.49
Dividend8.87%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV87%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-08-31Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On August 31, 2026, Westlake Chemical Partners LP (the "Partnership") announced that Tommy E.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
2.5
Earnings Growth
4.6
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $20.65Resistance $21.75

Price Targets

$20
$21
$22
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WLKP stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $20.93. At $21.26 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $20.93 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $22.10 (+4.0%), stop $20.27 (−4.9%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WLKP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.10 (+4.0% upside). Target $22.10 (+4.0%), stop $20.27 (−4.9%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $20.27.

What are the risks of investing in WLKP?

Thin upside margin: 4.0%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Weak growth.

Is WLKP overvalued or undervalued?

Westlake Chemical Partners LP trades at a P/E of 13.0 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about WLKP?

7 analysts cover WLKP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Westlake Chemical Partners LP do?We are a Delaware limited partnership formed by Westlake in March 2014 to operate, acquire and develop ethylene...

We are a Delaware limited partnership formed by Westlake in March 2014 to operate, acquire and develop ethylene production facilities and related assets. On August 4, 2014, we completed our initial public offering (the "IPO") of 12,937,500 common units representing limited partner interests. In connection with the IPO, we acquired an initial 10.6% interest in OpCo and a 100% interest in OpCo GP, which is the general partner of OpCo.

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