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Celanese Corporation (CE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.14: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Celanese is a global chemical and specialty materials company producing high-performance engineered polymers (Engineered Materials segment) and acetyl intermediates (Acetyl Chain segment) from 51 facilities in North America, Europe, and Asia. Sells to automotive, electronics,... Read more

$56.14+19.5% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#2 of 10 Chemicals
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield16.42%
IncomeYield0.21%(5y avg 2.06%)Payout27.89%sustainable
Stop $53.69Target $67.11(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$74.56+32.8%16 analysts
$67.11our TP
$56.14price
$74.56mean
$95

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.14: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Celanese Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(3) detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Fairway joint venture (methanol, North America)
Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (11 sells, 6.15% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$6.2B
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn-11.6%
ROE-21.1%
Rev Growth-2.2%
Beta0.81
Dividend0.21%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope (~35% of net sales)35%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales originating in Europe have accounted for approximately one-third of our net sales annually, and accounted for approximately 35% of our Net sales in 2025'
  • HIGHSupplierFairway joint venture (methanol, North America)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Almost all of our supply of methanol in North America is currently obtained from our Fairway joint venture with Mitsui'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-20Item 5.02LOW
    Anne P. Noonan elected to Board of Directors effective April 20, 2026, increasing board size from 9 to 10 members. Independent director; no committee appointment yet. No reason cited for vacancy.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-04Item 5.02LOW
    Timothy Go resigned from Celanese Board of Directors effective February 27, 2026. Resignation not the result of any disagreement with the Company. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.2
Roa
1.6
Moat
2.5
Operating Margin
3.4
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.1
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Uptrend pullback (RSI 32) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.6
Value Rank
4.0
Growth Rank
4.0
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.35Resistance $70.70

Price Targets

$54
$67
A.Upside+19.5%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (11 sells, 6.15% of cap), Negative free cash flow
! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.14: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 1.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $53.69. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $67.11 (+19.5% upside). Prior stop was $53.69. Stop-loss: $53.69.

What are the risks of investing in CE?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Fairway joint venture (methanol, North America); Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (11 sells, 6.15% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is CE overvalued or undervalued?

Celanese Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CE?

26 analysts cover CE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $75.

What does Celanese Corporation do?Celanese is a global chemical and specialty materials company producing high-performance engineered polymers...

Celanese is a global chemical and specialty materials company producing high-performance engineered polymers (Engineered Materials segment) and acetyl intermediates (Acetyl Chain segment) from 51 facilities in North America, Europe, and Asia. Sells to automotive, electronics, adhesives, coatings, and other industrial customers; approximately 35% of 2025 net sales from Europe.

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