Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $52.47: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.71; Below-average business quality.
Floor & Decor operated 270 warehouse-format stores and five design studios across 39 states as of December 25, 2025, selling hard surface flooring, installation materials, and accessories to professional installers and homeowners. Revenue is generated through transactional... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $52.47: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.71; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
About Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
About Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
Floor & Decor's 270 warehouse-format stores and five standalone design studios spanned 39 states as of December 25, 2025, with each warehouse store averaging 76,000 square feet and roughly 4,200 SKUs. Comparable store sales fell 1.8% in fiscal 2025, following a 7.1% decline in fiscal 2024, as elevated mortgage rates and weak existing home sales suppressed remodeling demand. The company carried $486.3 million of inventory outside stores—primarily at distribution centers—to support its broad in-stock model.
Floor & Decor generates transactional retail revenue by selling hard surface flooring—laminate, vinyl, tile, wood, natural stone—installation materials, and adjacent categories at everyday low prices across Pro and homeowner channels. The Pro segment, supported by a dedicated sales force, separate merchandise pickup, and the Pro Premier loyalty program, drives high-ticket repeat purchases from professional installers and commercial buyers. Direct sourcing from more than 240 vendors globally bypasses importers and distributors to maintain price competitiveness. Five company-operated distribution centers near Savannah, Houston, Los Angeles, Baltimore, and Seattle handle fulfillment, with a sixth near Baltimore planned. The company's largest supplier—a multinational—accounted for 10% of net sales in fiscal 2025, with no other individual supplier exceeding that threshold. In 2024, the company began a multi-year ERP implementation expected to complete in phases through 2027.
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The 10-K identifies high sensitivity to consumer discretionary spending, with elevated mortgage rates and low existing home sales directly contributing to negative comparable store sales across both fiscal 2024 and 2025. If high borrowing costs persist or housing turnover stays depressed, consumers may continue deferring flooring purchases—and prolonged weakness could force heavier promotional activity that would further pressure margins and cash flow. The company also notes it will require substantial cash flows from operations to meet fixed operating lease obligations across its largely leased store base.
See also: Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail
From Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Mizuho Maintains Neutral on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $58 — benzinga May 8, 2026 negative
- NEWS UBS Maintains Neutral on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $55 — benzinga May 1, 2026 neutral
- NEWS TD Cowen Maintains Hold on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $48 — benzinga May 1, 2026 negative
- NEWS Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $52 — benzinga May 1, 2026 negative
- NEWS Piper Sandler Reiterates Overweight on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $70 — benzinga May 1, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-17T10:31:48Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWSupplierlargest supplier10%10-K Item 1: 'Our largest supplier, which is multinational, accounted for 10% of our net sales in fiscal 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Revenue shrinking — -0.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $52.47: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.71; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Prior stop was $48.80. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $55.31 (+5.4% upside). Prior stop was $48.80. Stop-loss: $48.80.
Target reached (-7.5% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 28.9 (forward 24.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover FND with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $54.
What does Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. do?Floor & Decor operated 270 warehouse-format stores and five design studios across 39 states as of December 25, 2025,...
Floor & Decor operated 270 warehouse-format stores and five design studios across 39 states as of December 25, 2025, selling hard surface flooring, installation materials, and accessories to professional installers and homeowners. Revenue is generated through transactional retail sales at everyday low prices, supported by direct sourcing from more than 240 global vendors.