Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.18: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Floor and Decor is a specialty retailer of hard surface flooring operating 270 warehouse-format stores and 5 design studios across 39 US states as of December 25, 2025, plus a commercial surfaces business. Revenue comes from retail sales of laminate/vinyl, tile, wood, stone, and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.18: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.
Latest news
- Mizuho Maintains Neutral on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $58 — benzinga May 8, 2026 negative
- UBS Maintains Neutral on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $55 — benzinga May 1, 2026 neutral
- TD Cowen Maintains Hold on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $48 — benzinga May 1, 2026 negative
- Citigroup Maintains Neutral on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $52 — benzinga May 1, 2026 negative
- Piper Sandler Reiterates Overweight on Floor & Decor Hldgs, Lowers Price Target to $70 — benzinga May 1, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWSupplierlargest multinational supplier10%10-K Item 1: 'Our largest supplier, which is multinational, accounted for 10% of our net sales in fiscal 2025, while no other individual supplier accounted for 10% or more of our net sales'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Revenue shrinking — -0.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.18: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $41.73. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $48.52 (+9.7% upside). Prior stop was $41.73. Stop-loss: $41.73.
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.0 (forward 20.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
28 analysts cover FND with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $54.
What does Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. do?Floor and Decor is a specialty retailer of hard surface flooring operating 270 warehouse-format stores and 5 design...
Floor and Decor is a specialty retailer of hard surface flooring operating 270 warehouse-format stores and 5 design studios across 39 US states as of December 25, 2025, plus a commercial surfaces business. Revenue comes from retail sales of laminate/vinyl, tile, wood, stone, and installation materials to professional installers and homeowners via direct manufacturer sourcing.