Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Home Improvement Retail
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.66: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 6.95; Below-average business quality.
Floor & Decor is a specialty hard surface flooring retailer operating 270 warehouse-format stores averaging approximately 76,000 sq ft and 5 design studios across 39 U.S. states, targeting professional installers, DIY, and BIY customers. Revenue comes from retail flooring sales... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.66: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 6.95; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $47.66: Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 2.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 6.95; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $45.08. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $62.26 (+30.3% upside). Prior stop was $45.08. Stop-loss: $45.08.
Quality below floor (3.7 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap).
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.8 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
28 analysts cover FND with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $69.
What does Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. do?Floor & Decor is a specialty hard surface flooring retailer operating 270 warehouse-format stores averaging...
Floor & Decor is a specialty hard surface flooring retailer operating 270 warehouse-format stores averaging approximately 76,000 sq ft and 5 design studios across 39 U.S. states, targeting professional installers, DIY, and BIY customers. Revenue comes from retail flooring sales at everyday low prices; same-store sales declined 1.8% in fiscal 2025 due to housing market weakness and elevated mortgage rates.