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FIVEFive Below, Inc.Hold7.0·$201.31-1.74%
HoldModerate Confidence

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth ProfileStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Pullback Entry Technical SetupImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthQualityAI GATE: FLAGGED — 1 riskModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $201.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.83) + overbought RSI 74.

Five Below is a specialty value retailer selling trend-right merchandise mostly priced at $5 and below across eight category worlds — Candy, Style, Party, Room, Create, Tech, Sports and New & Now — operating 1,921 stores across 46 states as of January 31, 2026. Net sales grew... Read more

$201.31+16.5% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#2 of 23 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.77%
Stop $187.55Target $234.43(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$260.48+29.4%21 analysts
$234.43our TP
$201.31price
$260.48mean
$325

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $201.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.83) + overbought RSI 74. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.35, news boost analyst cluster(5), earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and news legal. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Five Below, Inc.

About Five Below, Inc.

Five Below operated 1,921 stores across 46 states as of January 31, 2026, after opening 150 net new locations during fiscal 2025, and targets more than 3,500 U.S. locations over time. Comparable sales rose 12.8% in fiscal 2025 (following a 2.7% decline in fiscal 2024), driving net sales from $3.6 billion in fiscal 2023 to $4.8 billion in fiscal 2025, a 15.7% compounded annual growth rate.

Five Below organizes merchandise into eight category worlds — Candy, Style, Party, Room, Create, Tech, Sports and New & Now — which roll up into three reporting groups: Leisure (44.5% of fiscal 2025 net sales), Fashion and home (30.9%) and Snack and seasonal (24.6%). The company sources from roughly 1,000 vendors, with no single vendor representing more than 5% of purchases and about 60% of purchases from domestic vendors, though China remains the single largest country of origin for imported merchandise. Five shipcenters in Pedricktown, New Jersey, Forsyth, Georgia, Conroe, Texas, Buckeye, Arizona and Indianapolis, Indiana support distribution to stores that average roughly $2 million in first-year sales on a $0.4 million initial cash investment, targeting a one-year payback period.

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Five Below's value positioning is now hostage to trade policy: China is the single largest source of the merchandise it imports, and the 10-K discloses that the U.S. Supreme Court's invalidation of certain International Emergency Economic Powers Act tariffs left significant uncertainty over whether affected duties will be refunded or simply replaced under different legal authority. Because the company's brand identity rests on most items pricing at or below $5, any tariff-driven cost increase it cannot absorb through vendor negotiation risks damaging its positioning as an extreme-value retailer and making it less competitive, exactly the trade-off the filing itself warns against.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

From Five Below, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 3, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-23
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 26, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.83) + overbought RSI 74

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.7
P/E (Fwd)21.0
Mkt Cap$11.3B
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE21.1%
Rev Growth32.5%
Beta1.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant majority of our merchandise is manufactured outside of the United States, with China as the single largest source of merchandise we import and source from domestic vendors.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.1
Support Resistance
2.6
52w Position
6.0
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotNEWS LEGALMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.35NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(5)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $173.10Resistance $211.26

Price Targets

$188
$234
A.Upside+16.5%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! NEWS:LEGAL
! News gate: flagged (1 risks, 0 concerns)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-26 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIVE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $201.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.83) + overbought RSI 74. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $234.43 (+16.5%), stop $187.55 (−7.3%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIVE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $234.43 (+16.5% upside). Target $234.43 (+16.5%), stop $187.55 (−7.3%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $187.55.

What are the risks of investing in FIVE?

Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.83) + overbought RSI 74.

Is FIVE overvalued or undervalued?

Five Below, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.7 (forward 21.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FIVE?

33 analysts cover FIVE with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $260.

What does Five Below, Inc. do?Five Below is a specialty value retailer selling trend-right merchandise mostly priced at $5 and below across eight...

Five Below is a specialty value retailer selling trend-right merchandise mostly priced at $5 and below across eight category worlds — Candy, Style, Party, Room, Create, Tech, Sports and New & Now — operating 1,921 stores across 46 states as of January 31, 2026. Net sales grew from $3.6 billion in fiscal 2023 to $4.8 billion in fiscal 2025 (a 15.7% CAGR), with plans to expand the store base beyond 3,500 locations, sourcing merchandise from roughly 1,000 vendors with China as the single largest country of origin.

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