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EPACEnerpac Tool Group Corp.Buy Wait6.0·$34.87-0.20%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

This specialty industrial machinery company carries strong underlying quality and an attractively growth-adjusted valuation, but the technical setup remains cautious — a confirmed long-term downtrend, an imminent earnings report, and high supplier concentration mean the current posture is maintenance, not accumulation.

Thesis pillars

  • Supplier Concentration Operational RiskStable
  • Quality And Growth Adjusted ValueStable
  • Momentum Recovery In ProgressStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Enerpac Tool Group Corp. (EPAC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $34.84. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $34.87. Engine's entry $34.84 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -103.3%), High leverage (D/E 4.8).

Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than 100 countries through its single Industrial Tools & Services segment. In fiscal 2025, 37% of net sales came from the United States and 28% from Europe, with... Read more

$34.87+23.2% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.31%
IncomeYield0.11%(5y avg 0.14%)Payout2.52%sustainable
Entry $34.84(50-day MA)Stop $32.68Target $42.92(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$50.50+44.8%2 analysts
$42.92our TP
$34.87price
$50.50mean
$51

Wait for pullback to $34.84. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $34.87. Engine's entry $34.84 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -103.3%), High leverage (D/E 4.8). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 7, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -103.3%), High leverage (D/E 4.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.9
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn13.7%
ROE21.0%
Rev Growth6.4%
Beta0.85
Dividend0.11%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.05bullish
IV75%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicUnited States37%
    10-K Item 1: 'In fiscal 2025, we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States'
  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope28%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States, 28% from Europe'
  • LOWGeographicMiddle East13%
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived 37% of our net sales from the United States, 28% from Europe, 13% from the Middle East'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle or limited suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We procure certain components for our products from single or limited suppliers.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierChina suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'we procure a portion of our components from suppliers located in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.9
Macd
2.4
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dA.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.96Resistance $37.39

Price Targets

$33
$35
$43
A.Upside+23.1%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-07 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EPAC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $34.84. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $34.87. Engine's entry $34.84 (50-day MA) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -103.3%), High leverage (D/E 4.8). Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $42.92 (+23.1%), stop $32.68 (−6.7%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EPAC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.92 (+23.2% upside). Target $42.92 (+23.1%), stop $32.68 (−6.7%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Stop-loss: $32.68.

What are the risks of investing in EPAC?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited suppliers; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -103.3%), High leverage (D/E 4.8).

Is EPAC overvalued or undervalued?

Enerpac Tool Group Corp. trades at a P/E of 21.9 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EPAC?

9 analysts cover EPAC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Enerpac Tool Group Corp. do?Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than...

Enerpac Tool Group designs, manufactures, and distributes high-pressure hydraulic tools and services across more than 100 countries through its single Industrial Tools & Services segment. In fiscal 2025, 37% of net sales came from the United States and 28% from Europe, with approximately 2,100 employees. The company single-sources certain components from its global supplier network.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · CXT (Crane NXT, Co.) · BW (Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I) · CSW (CSW Industrials, Inc.) · MIDD (The Middleby Corporation)
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