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Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I (BW) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.17: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Babcock & Wilcox is an energy technologies provider with nearly 160 years of experience supplying steam generation systems, aftermarket services, and emissions/decarbonization solutions to utilities, data centers, and industrial customers. Revenue comes from fixed-price and... Read more

$15.17+13.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#20 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $14.12Target $17.28(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$20.33+34.0%3 analysts
$17.28our TP
$15.17price
$20.33mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.17: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA97.6
Profit Mgn-6.2%
ROE
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta1.10
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV130%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerelectric power generating companies and steam-using industries
    10-K Item 1A: 'We derive substantial revenues from electric power generating companies and other steam-using industries.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-27Item 5.02LOW
    Dr. Homaira Akbari appointed to the Board of Directors effective January 26, 2026. Will receive standard non-employee director compensation. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -6.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.8
Gross Margin
0.9
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
4.7
Moat
5.0
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.2
Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
5.2
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $14.08Resistance $18.80

Price Targets

$14
$17
A.Upside+13.9%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.17: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $14.12. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.28 (+13.8% upside). Prior stop was $14.12. Stop-loss: $14.12.

What are the risks of investing in BW?

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is BW overvalued or undervalued?

Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BW?

12 analysts cover BW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, I do?Babcock & Wilcox is an energy technologies provider with nearly 160 years of experience supplying steam generation...

Babcock & Wilcox is an energy technologies provider with nearly 160 years of experience supplying steam generation systems, aftermarket services, and emissions/decarbonization solutions to utilities, data centers, and industrial customers. Revenue comes from fixed-price and cost-plus contracts; backlog was $423.6M at December 31, 2025. The company must refinance $84.8M of 6.50% Senior Notes maturing December 2026.

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