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CWCurtiss-Wright CorporationSell5.4·$567.53-0.21%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Curtiss-Wright has delivered four consecutive earnings beats on strong technical momentum and best-in-class quality metrics, but at a forward P/E of 44.7 times and with the stock trading above its near-term price target, the risk/reward is unfavorable for new entry from current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Margins QualityImproving
  • Consistent Reliable Earnings BeatsImproving
  • Strong Technical Momentum BreakoutDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $567.53 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government and foreign government end use (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers.

Curtiss-Wright designs and manufactures highly engineered products for aerospace & defense, naval and power markets across three segments, with 58% of 2025 net sales to U.S. and foreign governments. The company serves U.S. Navy submarine programs, commercial nuclear plants and... Read more

$567.53+20.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#48 of 66 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.63%
IncomeYield0.19%(5y avg 0.35%)Payout6.74%sustainable
Stop $541.10Target $684.07(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$786.29+38.5%7 analysts
$684.07our TP
$567.53price
$786.29mean
$870

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $567.53 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government and foreign government end use (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Curtiss-Wright Corporation

About Curtiss-Wright Corporation

Defense Electronics, Naval & Power and Aerospace & Industrial together generated 58% of 2025 net sales from U.S. Government and foreign government end-use customers, with U.S. Government sales alone totaling $1,647 million across Curtiss-Wright's three segments. The company employed approximately 9,100 people in more than 20 countries at year-end 2025, with 6% covered by labor union agreements, and carried a backlog of approximately $4.1 billion.

Curtiss-Wright earns revenue through three segments: Defense Electronics (embedded computing, data acquisition and tactical communications for U.S. and allied defense programs on more than 400 platforms), Naval & Power (propulsion equipment, steam turbines and coolant pumps for Virginia-class and Columbia-class submarines and the Ford-class carrier, plus commercial nuclear plant hardware for North America, the U.K. and South Korea), and Aerospace & Industrial (sensors, surface technology and specialty vehicle products sold to commercial OEM programs). U.S. defense spending—the source of roughly 47% of 2025 net sales—has historically been cyclical and subject to congressional funding cycles. Several component suppliers hold sole-source positions; if a sole-source supplier ceases or delays delivery, the company may be unable to produce the related product in sufficient quantities. Foreign pre-tax earnings grew from 35% of the total in 2023 to 41% in 2025.

Show full overview

Two named naval programs—Virginia-class and Columbia-class submarines—are cited in the Naval & Power segment as key revenue drivers, making continued U.S. Navy shipbuilding appropriations a discrete program-level risk. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted July 4, 2025 raised the federal debt ceiling by $5 trillion, reducing near-term risk of contract delays from a debt-ceiling impasse. However, U.S. Government contracts can be terminated for convenience at any time, and option years may go unexercised if an agency lacks funding or is dissatisfied with performance.

See also: Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

From Curtiss-Wright Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Analyst upside: 20%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government and foreign government end use (58.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)38.6
P/E (Fwd)33.2
Mkt Cap$21.0B
EV/EBITDA25.7
Profit Mgn14.8%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta0.88
Dividend0.19%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.62bearish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. Government and foreign government end use58%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our sales to the U.S. Government and foreign government end use represented 58%, 57%, and 56% of total net sales during 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. defense programs47%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 47% of our total net sales were derived from or related to U.S. defense programs.'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-source component suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'several suppliers are our sole source of certain components. If a sole-source supplier is delayed or should cease or otherwise be unable to deliver such components'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-20Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Curtiss-Wright terminated its $750 million revolving credit facility (entered May 2022, maturing May 2027) concurrent with entering a new $1 billion revolving credit facility maturing May 2031. No early termination penalties incurred.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 10, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.58K FLAG 1.02A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
10 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $557.83Resistance $728.05

Price Targets

$541
$684
A.Upside+20.5%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $567.53 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government and foreign government end use (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $541.10. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $684.07 (+20.5% upside). Prior stop was $541.10. Stop-loss: $541.10.

What are the risks of investing in CW?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government and foreign government end use (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-source component suppliers; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CW overvalued or undervalued?

Curtiss-Wright Corporation trades at a P/E of 38.6 (forward 33.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CW?

16 analysts cover CW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $786.

What does Curtiss-Wright Corporation do?Curtiss-Wright designs and manufactures highly engineered products for aerospace & defense, naval and power markets...

Curtiss-Wright designs and manufactures highly engineered products for aerospace & defense, naval and power markets across three segments, with 58% of 2025 net sales to U.S. and foreign governments. The company serves U.S. Navy submarine programs, commercial nuclear plants and defense electronics, with approximately 9,100 employees in more than 20 countries and backlog of approximately $4.1 billion.

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