Skip to main content
EMBJEmbraer S.A.Sell6.0·$59.92-2.57%
Open full analysis

Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $59.92: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.17; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Embraer S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of aircraft and systems worldwide. The company operates through Commercial Aviation; Defense & Security; Executive Aviation; Services & Support; and Other segments. The... Read more

$59.92+21.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#7 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-2.05%
IncomeYield0.99%(5y avg 2.68%)Payout35.37%sustainable
Stop $55.73Target $72.72(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$80.80+34.8%15 analysts
$72.72our TP
$59.92price
$80.80mean
$97

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $59.92: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.17; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/7 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.2
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$10.9B
EV/EBITDA4.0
Profit Mgn3.9%
ROE8.8%
Rev Growth18.4%
Beta0.73
Dividend0.99%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.17bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$80+33.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
2.9
52w Position
4.8

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
2.0
Roa
2.2
Operating Margin
2.3
Roe
2.9
Current Ratio
5.4
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -13% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 6.2>=5.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $53.56Resistance $62.49

Price Targets

$56
$73
A.Upside+21.4%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMBJ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $59.92: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 2.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.17; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Prior stop was $55.73. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EMBJ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.72 (+21.4% upside). Prior stop was $55.73. Stop-loss: $55.73.

What are the risks of investing in EMBJ?

Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).

Is EMBJ overvalued or undervalued?

Embraer S.A. trades at a P/E of 36.2 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EMBJ?

13 analysts cover EMBJ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $81.

What does Embraer S.A. do?Embraer S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of aircraft and...

Embraer S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of aircraft and systems worldwide. The company operates through Commercial Aviation; Defense & Security; Executive Aviation; Services & Support; and Other segments. The Commercial Aviation segment develops, produces, and sells commercial jets. The Defense & Security segment develops and produces military aircraft; and is involved in research and development of software and integrated information systems, communications, border monitoring and surveillance, space systems/satellites, and aircraft modernization services and services support, as well as command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems. The Executive Aviation segment develops, produces, and sells executive jets. The Service & Support segment provides field and technical support, flight operations solutions, aircraft modification, materials management, maintenance solutions, and training programs. The Other segment engages in the supply of structural parts and hydraulic systems; production of agricultural crop-spraying aircraft; development and certification of eVTOLs; creation of a maintenance and service network, and air traffic control system for eVTOLs; development and manufacture of electrical propulsion systems; cybersecurity; and software and technical products. Additionally, the company is involved in leasing of used aircraft; pilot, mechanic, and crew training; engineering services; retail trade, maintenance, and repair of computer products; information technology consulting, data processing, application service providers, and internet hosting; and fabrication of aircraft interiors. The company was formerly known as Embraer-Empresa Brasileira de Aeronáutica S.A. and changed its name to Embraer S.A. in November 2010. Embraer S.A. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Related stocks: FTAI (FTAI Aviation Ltd.) · VVX (V2X, Inc.) · TDG (Transdigm Group Incorporated) · HWM (Howmet Aerospace Inc.) · KRMN (Karman Holdings Inc.)
Home Stocks EMBJ

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga5d agoCONCERNProduct
Benzinga9d ago
Benzinga13d agoProduct
Benzinga36d agoAnalyst
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga40d ago
Benzinga40d agoEarnings