Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.85: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 12.90; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Embraer S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of aircraft and systems worldwide. The company operates through Commercial Aviation; Defense & Security; Executive Aviation; Services & Support; and Other segments. The... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.85: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 12.90; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Embraer S.A.
Latest news
- JP Morgan Maintains Overweight on Embraer, Lowers Price Target to $80 — benzinga May 12, 2026 neutral
- Embraer Q1 Adj EPADS $0.15, Sales $1.447B Beat $1.384B Estimate — benzinga May 8, 2026 positive
- Embraer Delivers 44 Aircraft In 1Q26, Up 47% YoY, Including 10 Commercial Jets And 29 Executive Jets — benzinga May 8, 2026 positive
- Embraer Affirms FY2026 Sales Guidance of $8.200B-$8.500B vs $8.851B Est — benzinga May 8, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $54.85: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 3.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 12.90; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $52.29. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $70.91 (+29.2% upside). Prior stop was $52.29. Stop-loss: $52.29.
Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).
Embraer S.A. trades at a P/E of 31.8 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover EMBJ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $82.
What does Embraer S.A. do?Embraer S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of aircraft and...
Embraer S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of aircraft and systems worldwide. The company operates through Commercial Aviation; Defense & Security; Executive Aviation; Services & Support; and Other segments. The Commercial Aviation segment develops, produces, and sells commercial jets. The Defense & Security segment develops and produces military aircraft; and is involved in research and development of software and integrated information systems, communications, border monitoring and surveillance, space systems/satellites, and aircraft modernization services and services support, as well as command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems. The Executive Aviation segment develops, produces, and sells executive jets. The Service & Support segment provides field and technical support, flight operations solutions, aircraft modification, materials management, maintenance solutions, and training programs. The Other segment engages in the supply of structural parts and hydraulic systems; production of agricultural crop-spraying aircraft; development and certification of eVTOLs; creation of a maintenance and service network, and air traffic control system for eVTOLs; development and manufacture of electrical propulsion systems; cybersecurity; and software and technical products. Additionally, the company is involved in leasing of used aircraft; pilot, mechanic, and crew training; engineering services; retail trade, maintenance, and repair of computer products; information technology consulting, data processing, application service providers, and internet hosting; and fabrication of aircraft interiors. The company was formerly known as Embraer-Empresa Brasileira de Aeronáutica S.A. and changed its name to Embraer S.A. in November 2010. Embraer S.A. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.