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Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.05: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Embraer S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of aircraft and systems worldwide. The company operates through Commercial Aviation; Defense & Security; Executive Aviation; Services & Support; and Other segments. The... Read more

$62.05+15.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#10 of 46 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $58.08Target $71.28(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$81.93+32.0%14 analysts
$71.28our TP
$62.05price
$81.93mean
$97

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.05: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.7
P/E (Fwd)16.6
Mkt Cap$10.8B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta0.97
Dividend0.96%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV59%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.9
Quality Rank
4.3
Value Rank
8.2

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roa
2.0
Net Margin
2.3
Roe
3.2
Operating Margin
3.3
Fcf Quality
3.6
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.5
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: 46% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dA.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.88Resistance $71.68

Price Targets

$58
$71
A.Upside+14.9%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-08 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EMBJ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.05: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.6/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $58.08. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EMBJ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $71.28 (+15.1% upside). Prior stop was $58.08. Stop-loss: $58.08.

What are the risks of investing in EMBJ?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is EMBJ overvalued or undervalued?

Embraer S.A. trades at a P/E of 31.7 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EMBJ?

13 analysts cover EMBJ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $82.

What does Embraer S.A. do?Embraer S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of aircraft and...

Embraer S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of aircraft and systems worldwide. The company operates through Commercial Aviation; Defense & Security; Executive Aviation; Services & Support; and Other segments. The Commercial Aviation segment develops, produces, and sells commercial jets. The Defense & Security segment develops and produces military aircraft; and is involved in research and development of software and integrated information systems, communications, border monitoring and surveillance, space systems/satellites, and aircraft modernization services and services support, as well as command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems. The Executive Aviation segment develops, produces, and sells executive jets. The Service & Support segment provides field and technical support, flight operations solutions, aircraft modification, materials management, maintenance solutions, and training programs. The Other segment engages in the supply of structural parts and hydraulic systems; production of agricultural crop-spraying aircraft; development and certification of eVTOLs; creation of a maintenance and service network, and air traffic control system for eVTOLs; development and manufacture of electrical propulsion systems; cybersecurity; and software and technical products. Additionally, the company is involved in leasing of used aircraft; pilot, mechanic, and crew training; engineering services; retail trade, maintenance, and repair of computer products; information technology consulting, data processing, application service providers, and internet hosting; and fabrication of aircraft interiors. The company was formerly known as Embraer-Empresa Brasileira de Aeronáutica S.A. and changed its name to Embraer S.A. in November 2010. Embraer S.A. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

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