VSE Corporation is an aerospace and defense services company with a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak averaging 29.3% positive surprise, 27% revenue growth, and a breakout technical pattern with a golden cross — but the stock has only 10.8% upside to analyst targets and below-threshold near-term asymmetry, making it a hold rather than a new buy at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Large Earnings Beats→Stable
- Strong Revenue Growth 27pct→Stable
- Golden Cross Breakout Momentum→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
VSE Corporation (VSEC) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $203.91: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
VSE Corporation provides aftermarket parts distribution and MRO services for aviation assets, serving commercial airlines, regional carriers, business aviation operators, cargo transporters, and corporate aircraft owners globally through a single Aviation segment. The company... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $203.91: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-05Recent Developments — VSE Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS VSE Corp (VSEC) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS VSE Corp (VSEC) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates - tradingkey.com — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS A Look at VSE Corp (VSEC) After 9.1% Decline -- GF Value $137.32 vs Price $160.17 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Why VSE Corporation (VSEC) Stock Is Trading Up Today - StockStory — StockStory positive
- NEWS Why VSE Corporation (VSEC) Stock Is Trading Up Today - TradingView — TradingView positive
Generated 2026-09-05T21:12:06Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerCustomer Group (affiliated customers under common ownership)20%10-K Item 1A: 'A group of affiliated customers under common ownership (the "Customer Group") collectively accounted for approximately 20% of the Company's revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $203.91: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $189.64. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $234.90 (+15.2% upside). Prior stop was $189.64. Stop-loss: $189.64.
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).
VSE Corporation trades at a P/E of 64.5 (forward 25.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover VSEC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $270.
What does VSE Corporation do?VSE Corporation provides aftermarket parts distribution and MRO services for aviation assets, serving commercial...
VSE Corporation provides aftermarket parts distribution and MRO services for aviation assets, serving commercial airlines, regional carriers, business aviation operators, cargo transporters, and corporate aircraft owners globally through a single Aviation segment. The company employs approximately 1,600 people and in January 2026 signed a $2.025 billion agreement to acquire Precision Aviation Group, targeting a second-quarter 2026 close.