VSE Corporation is an aerospace and defense services company with a perfect 4-quarter earnings beat streak averaging 29.3% positive surprise, 27% revenue growth, and a breakout technical pattern with a golden cross — but the stock has only 10.8% upside to analyst targets and below-threshold near-term asymmetry, making it a hold rather than a new buy at current levels.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Large Earnings Beats↑Improving
- Strong Revenue Growth 27pct→Stable
- Golden Cross Breakout Momentum→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026· older than 90 days
VSE Corporation (VSEC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $163.96: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
VSE Corporation provides aftermarket parts distribution and MRO services for aviation assets, serving commercial airlines, regional carriers, business aviation operators, cargo transporters, and corporate aircraft owners globally through a single Aviation segment. The company... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $163.96: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Nov 4, 2026Recent Developments — VSE Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS VSE Corporation Announces Third Quarter 2026 Results — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS VSE Corp (VSEC) Stock Up 4.1% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 83/100 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Aug 6, 2026 positive
- NEWS Why VSE (VSEC) Is Up 17.7% After Raising 2026 Revenue Guidance And Topping Q2 Targets - simplywall.st — simplywall.st Aug 6, 2026 positive
- NEWS VSE Corporation (VSEC) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why - StockStory — StockStory Aug 6, 2026 positive
- NEWS VSE Corporation (VSEC) Stock Trades Up, Here Is Why - The Chronicle-Journal — The Chronicle-Journal Aug 6, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:31Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerCustomer Group (affiliated customers under common ownership)20%10-K Item 1A: 'A group of affiliated customers under common ownership (the "Customer Group") collectively accounted for approximately 20% of the Company's revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $163.96: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $152.48. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $217.89 (+32.9% upside). Prior stop was $152.48. Stop-loss: $152.48.
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).
VSE Corporation trades at a P/E of 52.4 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
18 analysts rate VSEC, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 9 analysts publish price targets averaging $250.
What does VSE Corporation do?VSE Corporation provides aftermarket parts distribution and MRO services for aviation assets, serving commercial...
VSE Corporation provides aftermarket parts distribution and MRO services for aviation assets, serving commercial airlines, regional carriers, business aviation operators, cargo transporters, and corporate aircraft owners globally through a single Aviation segment. The company employs approximately 1,600 people and in January 2026 signed a $2.025 billion agreement to acquire Precision Aviation Group, targeting a second-quarter 2026 close.