VSE Corporation (VSEC) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $158.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Customer Group (20.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4).
VSE Corporation is a provider of aftermarket parts distribution and MRO services for commercial, business, and general aviation operators globally through its single Aviation segment, with ~1,600 employees. Revenue comes from parts supply, distribution, and component and engine... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $158.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Customer Group (20.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — VSE Corporation
Latest news
- A Look at VSE Corp (VSEC) After 9.1% Decline -- GF Value $137.32 vs Price $160.17 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- Why VSE Corporation (VSEC) Stock Is Trading Up Today - StockStory — StockStory positive
- Why VSE Corporation (VSEC) Stock Is Trading Up Today - TradingView — TradingView positive
- VSE (VSEC) Expected to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- VSE Corp (VSEC) Shares Surge 3.6% -- What GF Score of 84 Tells I - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerCustomer Group20%10-K Item 1A: 'The Company has material customer concentration within its business operations. A group of affiliated customers under common ownership (the "Customer Group") collectively accounted for approximately 20% of the Company's revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $158.66 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: Customer Group (20.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $151.53. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $220.00 (+38.7% upside). Prior stop was $151.53. Stop-loss: $151.53.
Concentration risk — Customer: Customer Group (20.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.4); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
VSE Corporation trades at a P/E of 58.1 (forward 28.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover VSEC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $253.
What does VSE Corporation do?VSE Corporation is a provider of aftermarket parts distribution and MRO services for commercial, business, and general...
VSE Corporation is a provider of aftermarket parts distribution and MRO services for commercial, business, and general aviation operators globally through its single Aviation segment, with ~1,600 employees. Revenue comes from parts supply, distribution, and component and engine accessory repair for airlines, cargo carriers, MRO integrators, and business aviation customers.