Moog Inc. (MOG-B) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $308.40 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace and defense OEM customers (61.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).
Moog designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls for aerospace/defense (Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft) and Industrial markets globally. US Government contracts represented 38% of 2025 sales; Boeing represented 10%;... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $308.40 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace and defense OEM customers (61.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomeraerospace and defense OEM customers61%10-K Item 1: 'Aerospace and defense OEM customers collectively represented 61% of 2025 sales.'
- MEDIUMCustomerU.S. Government contracts38%10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, sales under U.S. Government contracts represented 38% of total sales'
- LOWCustomerThe Boeing Company10%10-K Item 1A: 'We provide Boeing with controls for both military and commercial applications, as well as controls for space and defense applications, which totaled 10% of our 2025 sales.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-03Item 1.02MEDIUMMoog redeemed all $500M of 4.250% Senior Notes due 2027 effective April 3, 2026; indenture satisfied and discharged. Funded with proceeds from new 5.500% Senior Notes due 2034 plus cash on hand.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-24Item 1.01LOWMoog completed $500M offering of 5.500% Senior Notes due 2034 on March 24, 2026. Notes pay interest semiannually; callable starting April 2029 with make-whole premium or equity clawback at 105.5%.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-24Item 2.04LOWTriggering event: new 5.500% Senior Notes due 2034 issuance on March 24, 2026 constitutes a direct financial obligation. No default.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $308.40 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace and defense OEM customers (61.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $301.42. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $316.04 (+1.9% upside). Prior stop was $301.42. Stop-loss: $301.42.
Concentration risk — Customer: aerospace and defense OEM customers (61.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Moog Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.1 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover MOG-B with a consensus score of 4.1/5.
What does Moog Inc. do?Moog designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls for aerospace/defense (Space and...
Moog designs, manufactures, and integrates precision motion and fluid controls for aerospace/defense (Space and Defense, Military Aircraft, Commercial Aircraft) and Industrial markets globally. US Government contracts represented 38% of 2025 sales; Boeing represented 10%; aerospace/defense OEM customers collectively represented 61%. Twelve-month backlog was $3.0B as of September 27, 2025.