Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $277.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: aerospace (70.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (72.0%).
Howmet Aerospace manufactures precision jet engine components, fastening systems, engineered structures, and forged aluminum wheels, with aerospace representing approximately 70% of 2025 revenue across four segments in 19 countries. North America generated 72% and Europe 22% of... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $277.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: aerospace (70.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (72.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $277.42 has reached target $275.10. No upside to wait for. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — Howmet Aerospace Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Analysts Conflicted on These Industrial Goods Names: Vertiv Holdings (VRT), Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro (OMAB) and Ho — The Globe and Mail neutral
- NEWS Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) Announces Results of Annual Sharehol - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Howmet (HWM) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You Trade - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM) Stock Up 3.2% but GF Value Says Overv - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Price Forecast: Breakout Targets Near $300 - FXEmpire — FXEmpire positive
Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductaerospace70%10-K Item 1: 'Howmet's largest market is aerospace, which represented approximately 70% of the Company's revenue in 2025'
- HIGHGeographicNorth America72%10-K Item 1: 'North America and Europe generated 72% and 22%, respectively, of Howmet's sales in 2025'
- LOWCustomerRTX Corporation11%10-K Item 1: 'RTX Corporation and GE Aerospace each represented approximately 11% of the Company's third-party sales'
- LOWCustomerGE Aerospace11%10-K Item 1: 'RTX Corporation and GE Aerospace each represented approximately 11% of the Company's third-party sales'
- HIGHSuppliertitanium sponge10-K Item 1A: 'we depend on a number of limited source or sole source suppliers, such as for titanium sponge and specialized metal alloys'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $277.42, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: aerospace (70.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (72.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $277.42 has reached target $275.10. No upside to wait for. Target $275.10 (-0.8%), stop $236.37 (−17.4%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $275.10 (+10.9% upside). Target $275.10 (-0.8%), stop $236.37 (−17.4%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $236.37.
Concentration risk — Product: aerospace (70.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (72.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Howmet Aerospace Inc. trades at a P/E of 62.9 (forward 44.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
28 analysts cover HWM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $303.
What does Howmet Aerospace Inc. do?Howmet Aerospace manufactures precision jet engine components, fastening systems, engineered structures, and forged...
Howmet Aerospace manufactures precision jet engine components, fastening systems, engineered structures, and forged aluminum wheels, with aerospace representing approximately 70% of 2025 revenue across four segments in 19 countries. North America generated 72% and Europe 22% of 2025 sales; RTX Corporation and GE Aerospace each represented approximately 11% of third-party sales in 2025.