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Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $719.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Curtiss-Wright provides highly engineered products and services to aerospace and defense, naval nuclear, and commercial markets through three segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power. U.S. Government sales—direct and through prime... Read more

$719.32+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#23 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.01%
IncomeYield0.15%(5y avg 0.36%)Payout7.03%sustainable
Stop $667.75Target $745.51(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$763.29+6.1%7 analysts
$745.51our TP
$719.32price
$763.29mean
$614
$870

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $719.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Curtiss-Wright Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (58.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)51.5
P/E (Fwd)41.6
Mkt Cap$26.0B
EV/EBITDA32.6
Profit Mgn14.2%
ROE19.7%
Rev Growth13.4%
Beta0.86
Dividend0.15%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish
IV41%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. Government58%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our sales to the U.S. Government and foreign government end use represented 58%, 57%, and 56% of total net sales during 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.4
Forward Pe
2.7
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
5.3
Ps
5.4
Forward P/E: 41.6xPEG: 1.43

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
3.3
Growth Rank
4.0
Quality Rank
8.1
Best-in-class margins
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $685.63Resistance $760.72

Price Targets

$668
$746
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.2% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $719.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $745.51 (+3.6%), stop $667.75 (−7.7%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $745.51 (+4.2% upside). Target $745.51 (+3.6%), stop $667.75 (−7.7%), A.R:R -1.1:1. Stop-loss: $667.75.

What are the risks of investing in CW?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. Government (58.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is CW overvalued or undervalued?

Curtiss-Wright Corporation trades at a P/E of 51.5 (forward 41.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CW?

17 analysts cover CW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $763.

What does Curtiss-Wright Corporation do?Curtiss-Wright provides highly engineered products and services to aerospace and defense, naval nuclear, and commercial...

Curtiss-Wright provides highly engineered products and services to aerospace and defense, naval nuclear, and commercial markets through three segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power. U.S. Government sales—direct and through prime contractors—represented 58% of total net sales in 2025 and 47% were directly to or for U.S. defense programs. No single customer exceeded 10% of total net sales.

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