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Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $711.50 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Curtiss-Wright designs and manufactures highly engineered products for aerospace & defense and commercial nuclear/industrial markets through three segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power. U.S. defense represented approximately 47% of 2025 net... Read more

$711.50+3.7% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#30 of 46 Aerospace & Defense
Stop $668.61Target $733.18(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$727.86+2.3%7 analysts
$733.18our TP
$711.50price
$727.86mean
$614
$780

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $711.50 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)54.1
P/E (Fwd)41.4
Mkt Cap$25.7B
EV/EBITDA33.2
Profit Mgn13.8%
ROE19.4%
Rev Growth14.9%
Beta0.92
Dividend0.14%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.74neutral
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. defense programs47%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 47% of our total net sales were derived from or related to U.S. defense programs'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.3
Forward Pe
2.7
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
4.4
Ps
5.3
Forward P/E: 41.4xPEG: 2.11
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $676.17Resistance $748.14

Price Targets

$669
$733
A.Upside+3.0%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.5% upside)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $711.50 — A.R:R is negative (-1.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $668.61. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $733.18 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $668.61. Stop-loss: $668.61.

What are the risks of investing in CW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Expensive valuation.

Is CW overvalued or undervalued?

Curtiss-Wright Corporation trades at a P/E of 54.1 (forward 41.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CW?

17 analysts cover CW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $728.

What does Curtiss-Wright Corporation do?Curtiss-Wright designs and manufactures highly engineered products for aerospace & defense and commercial...

Curtiss-Wright designs and manufactures highly engineered products for aerospace & defense and commercial nuclear/industrial markets through three segments: Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power. U.S. defense represented approximately 47% of 2025 net sales; revenue is driven by long-term defense contracts and commercial OEM programs.

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