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CSLCarlisle Companies IncorporatedSell5.0·$366.73+1.63%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Carlisle Companies shows strong price momentum with a golden cross and volume accumulation, and posts a return on equity of 38% that ranks superior to peers — but the stock has essentially reached analyst targets with only 0.9% headroom to the take-profit level and a risk/reward of 0.14-to-1; declining revenue of negative 4% and a dividend payout ratio above 100% of earnings create pressure on the financial profile if growth does not recover.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Momentum BreakoutStable
  • Superior Return On EquityStable
  • Target Exhausted Thin UpsideStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $366.73 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative building envelope products and solutions for more energy-efficient buildings. Through our building products businesses, Carlisle Construction Materials and... Read more

$366.73+6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#16 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.87%
IncomeYield1.20%(5y avg 1.03%)Payout25.10%sustainable
Stop $341.06Target $390.99(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$410.14+11.8%7 analysts
$390.99our TP
$366.73price
$410.14mean
$450

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $366.73 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.4
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$14.8B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE38.2%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta0.85
Dividend1.20%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.19bearish
IV54%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-30Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 28, 2026, Scott C.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
1.4
Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $327.75Resistance $398.97

Price Targets

$341
$391
A.Upside+6.6%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $366.73 — A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $341.06. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $390.99 (+6.6% upside). Prior stop was $341.06. Stop-loss: $341.06.

What are the risks of investing in CSL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Weak growth.

Is CSL overvalued or undervalued?

Carlisle Companies Incorporated trades at a P/E of 21.4 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSL?

16 analysts cover CSL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $410.

What does Carlisle Companies Incorporated do?Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative...

Carlisle Companies Incorporated ("Carlisle," the "Company," "we," "us" or "our") is a leading supplier of innovative building envelope products and solutions for more energy-efficient buildings. Through our building products businesses, Carlisle Construction Materials and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies, and family of leading brands, Carlisle delivers innovative, labor reducing and environmentally responsible products and solutions to customers through the Carlisle Experience.

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