Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Concentration risk — Geographic: Vietnam.
Arlo Technologies makes smart home security cameras, doorbells, floodlight cameras, and home security systems globally, with a cloud-based SaaS platform (Arlo Secure, Arlo Total Security, Arlo Safe subscriptions). Revenue comes from device sales and recurring subscriptions. All... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Concentration risk — Geographic: Vietnam. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSuppliersole source suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'Many of the components used in our products are specifically designed for use in our products, some of which are obtained from sole source suppliers.'
- HIGHGeographicVietnam10-K Item 1A: 'substantially all of our manufacturing and assembly occurs in the Asia Pacific region, primarily in Vietnam'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $14.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Concentration risk — Geographic: Vietnam. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $13.11. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $18.27 (+29.6% upside). Prior stop was $13.11. Stop-loss: $13.11.
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Concentration risk — Geographic: Vietnam; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.8): -1.5.
Arlo Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 100.1 (forward 14.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover ARLO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $22.
What does Arlo Technologies, Inc. do?Arlo Technologies makes smart home security cameras, doorbells, floodlight cameras, and home security systems globally,...
Arlo Technologies makes smart home security cameras, doorbells, floodlight cameras, and home security systems globally, with a cloud-based SaaS platform (Arlo Secure, Arlo Total Security, Arlo Safe subscriptions). Revenue comes from device sales and recurring subscriptions. All manufacturing is outsourced to a limited number of ODMs primarily in Vietnam.