Chord Energy screens as deeply discounted — forward P/E of 8.1 times with a near-zero PEG ratio and 38% year-over-year revenue growth — but business quality sitting just below the minimum acceptable floor alongside heavy crude-oil and Williston Basin concentration means the attractive entry point carries significant commodity and quality risk.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
- Geographic Commodity Concentration→Stable
- Deep Value Entry Point↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $138.36: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.
Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest acreage position of any basin operator — producing an average 276,620 net Boepd in 2025 from Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, with limited non-operated... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $138.36: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Chord Energy Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Short Interest in Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CHRD) Declines By 27.8% - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Is the options market predicting a spike in Chord Energy Corporation stock? - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Is It Too Late To Consider Chord Energy (CHRD) After A 52.7% One Year Rally? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
- NEWS Earnings preview: Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Q1 earnings expected to decline - MSN — MSN negative
- NEWS Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Chord Energy Corporation Stock? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
Generated 2026-07-26T11:02:49Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicWilliston Basin10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our producing properties and operations are located in the Williston Basin, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in a concentrated geographic area'
- HIGHCommoditycrude oil56%10-K Item 1: 'approximately 56% of our 917.5 MMBoe estimated net proved reserves were comprised of crude oil'
- MEDIUMcounterpartylimited number of midstream providers10-K Item 1A: 'We depend upon a limited number of midstream providers for a large portion of our midstream services'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $138.36: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $129.26. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $148.92 (+7.6% upside). Prior stop was $129.26. Stop-loss: $129.26.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).
Chord Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover CHRD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $165.
What does Chord Energy Corporation do?Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest...
Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest acreage position of any basin operator — producing an average 276,620 net Boepd in 2025 from Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, with limited non-operated Marcellus Shale interests. Revenue derives from crude oil (56% of 917.5 MMBoe proved reserves at Dec 31, 2025), NGL, and natural gas sold at market prices.