Chord Energy screens as deeply discounted — forward P/E of 8.1 times with a near-zero PEG ratio and 38% year-over-year revenue growth — but business quality sitting just below the minimum acceptable floor alongside heavy crude-oil and Williston Basin concentration means the attractive entry point carries significant commodity and quality risk.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
- Geographic Commodity Concentration→Stable
- Deep Value Entry Point→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $148.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%).
Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest acreage position of any basin operator — producing an average 276,620 net Boepd in 2025 from Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, with limited non-operated... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $148.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — Chord Energy Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Short Interest in Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CHRD) Declines By 27.8% - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Chord Energy EVP Shannon Browning sells $562,660 in common stock - Investing.com — Investing.com neutral
- NEWS FMR LLC Trims Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) Stake -- Shares Still 7% Undervalued on GF Value - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Chord Energy (NASDAQ:CHRD) Surprises With Strong Q2 CY2026 - TradingView — TradingView positive
- NEWS Chord Energy (NASDAQ:CHRD) Surprises With Strong Q2 CY2026 - FinancialContent — FinancialContent positive
Generated 2026-09-04T14:12:12Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicWilliston Basin10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our producing properties and operations are located in the Williston Basin, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in a concentrated geographic area'
- HIGHCommoditycrude oil56%10-K Item 1: 'approximately 56% of our 917.5 MMBoe estimated net proved reserves were comprised of crude oil'
- MEDIUMcounterpartylimited number of midstream providers10-K Item 1A: 'We depend upon a limited number of midstream providers for a large portion of our midstream services'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $148.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $151.44 (+2.3%), stop $138.66 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 7.2/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $151.44 (+2.3% upside). Target $151.44 (+2.3%), stop $138.66 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $138.66.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Chord Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 10.0 (forward 10.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
22 analysts cover CHRD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $168.
What does Chord Energy Corporation do?Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest...
Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest acreage position of any basin operator — producing an average 276,620 net Boepd in 2025 from Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, with limited non-operated Marcellus Shale interests. Revenue derives from crude oil (56% of 917.5 MMBoe proved reserves at Dec 31, 2025), NGL, and natural gas sold at market prices.