Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. At $145.26, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%).
Chord Energy is an independent E&P company operating exclusively in the Williston Basin with 1.3 million net leasehold acres and 2025 average daily production of 276,620 Boepd. Proved reserves total 917.5 MMBoe with crude oil representing 56% of the mix; the company returns... Read more
Sell if holding. At $145.26, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicWilliston Basin10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our producing properties and operations are located in the Williston Basin, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in a concentrated geographic area.'
- HIGHCommoditycrude oil56%10-K Item 1A: 'estimated our net proved reserves to be 917.5 MMBoe, of which 69% were classified as proved developed and 56% were crude oil'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -19.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $145.26, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $135.13. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $148.82 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $135.13. Stop-loss: $135.13.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Chord Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 194.8 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
26 analysts cover CHRD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $165.
What does Chord Energy Corporation do?Chord Energy is an independent E&P company operating exclusively in the Williston Basin with 1.3 million net leasehold...
Chord Energy is an independent E&P company operating exclusively in the Williston Basin with 1.3 million net leasehold acres and 2025 average daily production of 276,620 Boepd. Proved reserves total 917.5 MMBoe with crude oil representing 56% of the mix; the company returns significant capital via dividends and buybacks.