Chord Energy screens as deeply discounted — forward P/E of 8.1 times with a near-zero PEG ratio and 38% year-over-year revenue growth — but business quality sitting just below the minimum acceptable floor alongside heavy crude-oil and Williston Basin concentration means the attractive entry point carries significant commodity and quality risk.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Revenue Growth↑Improving
- Geographic Commodity Concentration↓Deteriorating
- Deep Value Entry Point↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Wait for pullback to $134.60. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $136.27. Engine's entry $134.60 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%).
Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest acreage position of any basin operator — producing an average 276,620 net Boepd in 2025 from Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, with limited non-operated... Read more
Wait for pullback to $134.60. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $136.27. Engine's entry $134.60 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.4/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-26Recent Developments — Chord Energy Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Short Interest in Chord Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CHRD) Declines By 27.8% - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Chord Energy Drops 6.2% Amid Sector-Wide Selling - AlphaStreet — AlphaStreet negative
- NEWS Chord Energy Drops 6.2% Amid Sector-Wide Selling - news.alphastreet.com — news.alphastreet.com negative
- NEWS Chord Energy Corp: Quantitative Stock of the Week - Barron's — Barron's neutral
- NEWS Chord Energy Corp: Quantitative Stock of the Week - barrons.com — barrons.com neutral
Generated 2026-09-26T02:41:57Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicWilliston Basin10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our producing properties and operations are located in the Williston Basin, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in a concentrated geographic area'
- HIGHCommoditycrude oil56%10-K Item 1: 'approximately 56% of our 917.5 MMBoe estimated net proved reserves were comprised of crude oil'
- MEDIUMcounterpartylimited number of midstream providers10-K Item 1A: 'We depend upon a limited number of midstream providers for a large portion of our midstream services'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $134.60. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $136.27. Engine's entry $134.60 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $155.81 (+14.3%), stop $124.60 (−9.4%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $155.81 (+14.3% upside). Target $155.81 (+14.3%), stop $124.60 (−9.4%), A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $124.60.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%); Negative momentum.
Chord Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 9.5 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
22 analysts cover CHRD with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $173.
What does Chord Energy Corporation do?Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest...
Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest acreage position of any basin operator — producing an average 276,620 net Boepd in 2025 from Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, with limited non-operated Marcellus Shale interests. Revenue derives from crude oil (56% of 917.5 MMBoe proved reserves at Dec 31, 2025), NGL, and natural gas sold at market prices.