Chord Energy screens as deeply discounted — forward P/E of 8.1 times with a near-zero PEG ratio and 38% year-over-year revenue growth — but business quality sitting just below the minimum acceptable floor alongside heavy crude-oil and Williston Basin concentration means the attractive entry point carries significant commodity and quality risk.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
- Geographic Commodity Concentration↓Deteriorating
- Deep Value Entry Point↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%).
Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest acreage position of any basin operator — producing an average 276,620 net Boepd in 2025 from Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, with limited non-operated... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Nov 1, 2026Recent Developments — Chord Energy Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS What Chord Energy Stock CEO Change Means For Shareholders - Simply Wall St — Simply Wall St Nov 1, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Chord Energy (CHRD) Expected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 28, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Chord Energy (CHRD), What Is Behind The Fresh Attention? - Simply Wall Street — Simply Wall Street Oct 27, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Are Investors Undervaluing Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) Right Now? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 27, 2026 neutral
Latest item Nov 1, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:00Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicWilliston Basin10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our producing properties and operations are located in the Williston Basin, making us vulnerable to risks associated with operating in a concentrated geographic area'
- HIGHCommoditycrude oil56%10-K Item 1: 'approximately 56% of our 917.5 MMBoe estimated net proved reserves were comprised of crude oil'
- MEDIUMcounterpartylimited number of midstream providers10-K Item 1A: 'We depend upon a limited number of midstream providers for a large portion of our midstream services'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $163.58 (+23.6%), stop $127.21 (−4.0%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $163.58 (+23.6% upside). Analyst target $163.58 (+23.6%), stop $127.21 (−4.0%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $127.21.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Williston Basin; Concentration risk — Commodity: crude oil (56.0%); Negative momentum.
Chord Energy Corporation trades at a P/E of 8.9 (forward 6.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Hold.
26 analysts rate CHRD, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 16 analysts publish price targets averaging $182.
What does Chord Energy Corporation do?Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest...
Chord Energy is an independent E&P company with 1,302,921 net leasehold acres in the Williston Basin — the largest acreage position of any basin operator — producing an average 276,620 net Boepd in 2025 from Middle Bakken and Three Forks formations, with limited non-operated Marcellus Shale interests. Revenue derives from crude oil (56% of 917.5 MMBoe proved reserves at Dec 31, 2025), NGL, and natural gas sold at market prices.