Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Stock Analysis
Inst Constrain edge
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $32.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.35× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced..
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in Texas and New Mexico. Its acreage is primarily located on contiguous blocks in Yoakum... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $32.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.35× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and materials cycle peak fwd=4.0x,ratio=0.35x. Suitability: aggressive.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
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Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 3.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $32.51 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.35× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $31.10. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $40.80 (+25.5% upside). Prior stop was $31.10. Stop-loss: $31.10.
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.0× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.35× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.3 (forward 4.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover REPX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $48.
What does Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. do?Riley Exploration Permian, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration,...
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in Texas and New Mexico. Its acreage is primarily located on contiguous blocks in Yoakum County, Texas; and oil and natural gas properties in the Yeso trend of the Permian Basin in Eddy County, New Mexico. The company is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.