SM Energy Company (SM) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.31× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
SM Energy Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company holds working interests in oil and gas producing wells in the Midland Basin, South Texas,... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.31× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $34.32 has reached target $33.75. No upside to wait for. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and materials cycle peak fwd=4.4x,ratio=0.31x. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — SM Energy Company
Latest news
- SM Energy, ProFrac, and Murphy Oil Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know - StockStory — StockStory positive
- SM Energy: Strong Buying Trends Since February Merger Should Continue - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- SM Energy double-upgraded at Raymond James on bullish oil outlook (SM:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
- Raymond James upgrades SM Energy stock rating on oil strength By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria — Investing.com Nigeria positive
- EBIT per share of SM Energy Company – SWB:SJL - TradingView — Track All Markets — TradingView — Track All Markets neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.31× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $34.32 has reached target $33.75. No upside to wait for. Target $33.75 (-1.9%), stop $27.42 (−25.4%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $33.75 (+14.5% upside). Target $33.75 (-1.9%), stop $27.42 (−25.4%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $27.42.
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 4.4× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.31× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-1.2% away).
SM Energy Company trades at a P/E of 14.0 (forward 4.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.
22 analysts cover SM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $39.
What does SM Energy Company do?SM Energy Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production...
SM Energy Company, an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, gas, and natural gas liquids in the United States. The company holds working interests in oil and gas producing wells in the Midland Basin, South Texas, Uinta Basin, and DJ Basin. The company was formerly known as St. Mary Land & Exploration Company and changed its name to SM Energy Company in May 2010. SM Energy Company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.