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Dorchester Minerals, L.P. (DMLP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Near 52-week high (0.5% away); Entry quality score: 3.8/10.

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. engages in the acquisition, ownership, and administration of royalty properties in the United States. Its royalty properties include producing and nonproducing mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, net profits, and leasehold interests in 594 counties... Read more

$28.33+9.3% A.UpsideScore 7.3/10#1 of 37 Oil & Gas E&P
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.86%
IncomeYield8.99%(5y avg 10.67%)Payout200.84%at-risk
Entry $25.88(support + ATR)Stop $24.75Target $28.29(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1Setup A.R:R 2.1:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Near 52-week high (0.5% away); Entry quality score: 3.8/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $28.80 has reached target $28.29. No upside to wait for. Score 7.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Dorchester Minerals, L.P.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.9 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong overall score: 7.3/10
Risks
Near 52-week high (0.5% away)
Entry quality score: 3.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.3
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn40.9%
ROE21.5%
Rev Growth36.4%
Beta0.54
Dividend8.99%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C17.00bearish
IV33%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·3 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
10.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Dividend Safety
3.5
Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
Low model confidence on this dimension (25%).
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 9.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.52Resistance $28.87

Price Targets

$25
$26
$28
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R0.0:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts0
Consensus
Avg Target

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for DMLP.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DMLP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $28.33, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Near 52-week high (0.5% away); Entry quality score: 3.8/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $28.80 has reached target $28.29. No upside to wait for. Target $28.29 (-0.1%), stop $24.75 (−14.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 7.3/10, high confidence.

What is the DMLP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.29 (+9.3% upside). Target $28.29 (-0.1%), stop $24.75 (−14.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $24.75.

What are the risks of investing in DMLP?

Near 52-week high (0.5% away); Entry quality score: 3.8/10.

Is DMLP overvalued or undervalued?

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. trades at a P/E of 20.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

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What does Dorchester Minerals, L.P. do?Dorchester Minerals, L.P. engages in the acquisition, ownership, and administration of royalty properties in the United...

Dorchester Minerals, L.P. engages in the acquisition, ownership, and administration of royalty properties in the United States. Its royalty properties include producing and nonproducing mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, net profits, and leasehold interests in 594 counties and parishes in 28 states; and net profits interests, which represent net profits overriding royalty interests in various properties owned by the operating partnership. The company was founded in 1982 and is based in Dallas, Texas.

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