BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (BCRX) Stock Analysis
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Elevated risk factors.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals commercializes ORLADEYO (berotralstat), an oral once-daily prophylactic therapy for hereditary angioedema (HAE) with FDA approval since December 2020, alongside peramivir injection (RAPIVAB) for influenza. Revenue comes from direct U.S. ORLADEYO sales... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
About BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
About BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
ORLADEYO (berotralstat), BioCryst's oral once-daily prophylactic HAE therapy, received FDA approval in December 2020 for patients 12 years and older, followed by a second FDA approval in December 2025 for a pediatric pellet formulation for patients aged 2 to under 12. BioCryst targets a global peak of $1 billion in annual ORLADEYO net revenues, based on five full years of U.S. commercialization and an HAE prevalence of 1 in 33,000 to 1 in 67,000 people. In October 2025, the company completed the sale of its European ORLADEYO operations to Neopharmed Gentili for $250 million, while retaining exclusive supply obligations for the European territory.
BioCryst generates revenue from direct ORLADEYO sales in the U.S. through a specialty pharmacy operating the EMPOWER Patient Services program. Japan commercialization is handled by Torii Pharmaceutical under a tiered royalty agreement ranging from 20% on annual sales below a prespecified threshold to 80% above it; pan-Latin America is covered by Pint Pharma under an exclusive collaboration. Peramivir injection (RAPIVAB) had a $69 million HHS contract for up to 95,625 doses over five years, but in May 2025 the U.S. ASPR notified the company of its intent not to exercise any additional optional ordering periods under the agreement. The company funded ORLADEYO development in part through royalty purchase agreements with RPI 2019 Intermediate Finance Trust and OMERS Capital Markets, creating ongoing royalty payment obligations distinct from traditional debt. Following the January 23, 2026 merger with Astria Therapeutics, navenibart—a monoclonal antibody plasma kallikrein inhibitor targeting every 3- and 6-month dosing for HAE—became the company's primary Phase 3 pipeline asset.
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Navenibart constitutes the critical pipeline binary event: it is currently in Phase 3 clinical development with FDA Fast Track and Orphan Drug designations, and if trial results are negative or delayed the near-term pipeline would consist only of early-stage assets—Phase 1 BCX17725 for Netherton syndrome (up to 12-patient data expected by end of 2026) and Phase 1 Avoralstat for diabetic macular edema. STAR-0310, an OX40 antagonist acquired in the Astria merger, is in Phase 1a with the company planning to seek strategic alternatives for the asset, further concentrating the actionable pipeline around navenibart.
See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
From BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 9, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Nasdaq, S&P 500 futures rise ahead of PMI data, Iran tensions cap risk appetite: Why NVDA, GME, AAOI, BCRX are keeping t — MSN neutral
- NEWS BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX) Projected to Post Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS BioCryst gains amid takeover speculation - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS BCRX Jumps As Price Target Hike Caps Busy Catalyst Week - StocksToTrade — StocksToTrade positive
- NEWS BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:BCRX) 2026-05-06 - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMProductORLADEYO10-K Item 1: 'We have built a robust commercial infrastructure to support the successful commercialization of ORLADEYO'
- MEDIUMpipelinenavenibart10-K Item 1: 'Navenibart is currently in Phase 3 clinical development, and the FDA has granted Fast Track and Orphan Drug designations to navenibart'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $18.53 (+108.7%), stop $8.26 (−7.5%), A.R:R 11.7:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $18.53 (+108.6% upside). Target $18.53 (+108.7%), stop $8.26 (−7.5%), A.R:R 11.7:1. Stop-loss: $8.26.
Elevated risk factors.
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
16 analysts cover BCRX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $21.
What does BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?BioCryst Pharmaceuticals commercializes ORLADEYO (berotralstat), an oral once-daily prophylactic therapy for hereditary...
BioCryst Pharmaceuticals commercializes ORLADEYO (berotralstat), an oral once-daily prophylactic therapy for hereditary angioedema (HAE) with FDA approval since December 2020, alongside peramivir injection (RAPIVAB) for influenza. Revenue comes from direct U.S. ORLADEYO sales and royalties from partners including Torii (Japan); the company sold its European ORLADEYO business to Neopharmed Gentili for $250 million in October 2025 and acquired Phase 3 navenibart via the Astria merger in January 2026.